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SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 08, 2009 11:33 AM IST

Mumbai: What has taken a number of us by surprise is the lack of adequate supervision and regulation,” Rana Kapoor was saying the other day. “This was despite the fact that Enron had happened and you passed Sarbanes-Oxley. We don't understand it. Maybe it's because we sit in a more controlled economy but...” He smiled sweetly as his voice trailed off, as if to take the sting off his comments. But they stung nonetheless.

Kapoor is an Indian banker, a former longtime Bank of America executive with a Rutgers MBA, who along with his business partner and brother-in-law, Ashok Kapur, was granted government permission four years ago to start a private bank, which they called Yes Bank Ltd.

Also See Bubble Trouble: Applying The Brakes Early Rather Than Late (Graphic)

In the United States, Yes Bank is the kind of name a go-go banker might give to, say, a high-flying mortgage lender in the middle of a bubble. (You can even imagine the slogan: “Yes is part of our name!”) But Yes Bank is not exactly the Washington Mutual of India. One news release it hands out to reporters who come calling is an excerpt from a 2007 survey by The Financial Express: “No. 1 on Credit Quality amongst 56 Banks in India,” reads the headline.

I arrived in Mumbai three weeks after the terrorist attacks that killed 200 people—including, tragically, Yes Bank's co-founder Kapur, who had served as the company’s nonexecutive chairman and was gunned down while having dinner at the Oberoi hotel. (His wife and two dinner companions miraculously escaped).

My hope in traveling to Mumbai was to learn about the current state of Indian business in the wake of both the credit crisis and the attacks. But in my first few days in this grand, sprawling, chaotic city, what I mainly heard, especially talking to bankers, was about America, not India. How could we have brought so much trouble on ourselves, and the rest of the world, by acting in such an obviously foolhardy manner? Didn’t we understand that you can’t lend money to people who lack the means to pay it back? The questions were asked with a sense of bewilderment—and an occasional hint of scorn. Like most Americans, I didn’t have any good answers. It was a bubble, I would respond with a sheepish shrug, as if that were an adequate explanation. It isn’t, of course.

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Vikram Said:


And after all of this, what do the federal reserve in the US do? They drive the mortgage rate to 4%. This is an interesting world :)

Posted On 12/22/2008 10:39:12 AM
Anand Said:


I disagree with the author's basic premise. While the article gives due credit to YV Reddy's foresight of 'applying brakes too early than too late', I find the complete lack of comparing the two situations in the right context, apalling! One needs to compare oranges with oranges, after all. The crux of the problem in the US economy is the government sponsored push towards increased home ownership. This push by the US state to over-promote homeownership has been the 'prodigal push to the stack of dominoes' which eventually lead to Fannie and Freddie becoming over aggresive mortgage lenders, to the over exposure to subprime borrowers, development of CDOs and all those other weapons of financial mass destruction. The important fact one needs to observe here is that the crux of the issue starts with government interferring in the working of the market. By artificially trying to boost homeownership, the government essentially lets loose excessive corporate risk taking - this is essentially what happened. Like one of the bank CEO's mentioned in the interview - "All those exotic structures like CDO and securtization are a very tiny part of our banking system. So a lot of the temptations didn't exist." Luckily, it seems that the Indian State has not got behind the 'increasing home ownership' bandwagon. Housing market has not come under pressure from the government to boost home ownership and therefore no apparent need to take excessive risks by creating money out of thin air using CDOs and other weapons of mass financial destruction. Rothbard says the 'bust' in the business cycle is usually causally linked to the earlier government generated 'boom'. The market economy is self correcting and will quickly eliminate the earlier government generated errors in investment, unless the process of adjustment is interfered with by government policies. I think it would incorrect to say Indian banks are 'saved' due to tight regulation. http://anand-mind-spark.blogspot.com

Posted On 12/22/2008 4:18:56 PM
Re: Venkatesh Said:


While the political forces focus on the people and try to win their votes, the pudits who run the Central Banks of countries are generally well educated economists whose job it is to put long term stability of the Nation to the forefront. I think this applies universally except in 'grave' situations created by greed, like in the current context.

Posted On 12/24/2008 12:41:10 PM
Shijo Said:


A very interesting perspective.

Posted On 12/22/2008 7:14:42 PM