Log has written
MONDAY, NOVEMBER 23, 2009

As the credit crisis has spread these past months, no Indian banks have come close to failing the way so many US and European financial institutions have. None has required the kind of emergency injections of capital that Western banks have needed. None has had the huge writedowns that were par for the course in the West. As the bubble has burst, which lenders have taken the hit? Why, the private equity and hedge fund lenders who had been so eager to finance land development. Us, in others words, rather than them. Why is that not a surprise?

When I asked Kapoor for his take on what had happened in the United States, he replied: “We recognize it as a problem of plenty. It was perpetuated by greedy bankers, whether investment bankers or commercial bankers. The greed to make money is the impression it has made here. Anytime they wanted a loan, people just dipped into their home ATM. It was like money was on call.”

So it was. And our regulators, unlike theirs, just stood by and let it happen. The next time we're moving into bubble territory, perhaps we can take a page from Reddy’s book— sometimes it's better to apply the brakes too early than too late. Or, as was the case with Greenspan, not at all.

None of this is to say that the global credit crisis hasn’t affected India. It certainly has. I’ll be back after the holidays with more columns from India, including how 15 September —the day Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. defaulted— changed everything, even here, on the other side of the world.

©2008/The New York Times

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Vikram Said:


And after all of this, what do the federal reserve in the US do? They drive the mortgage rate to 4%. This is an interesting world :)

Posted On 12/22/2008 10:39:12 AM
Anand Said:


I disagree with the author's basic premise. While the article gives due credit to YV Reddy's foresight of 'applying brakes too early than too late', I find the complete lack of comparing the two situations in the right context, apalling! One needs to compare oranges with oranges, after all. The crux of the problem in the US economy is the government sponsored push towards increased home ownership. This push by the US state to over-promote homeownership has been the 'prodigal push to the stack of dominoes' which eventually lead to Fannie and Freddie becoming over aggresive mortgage lenders, to the over exposure to subprime borrowers, development of CDOs and all those other weapons of financial mass destruction. The important fact one needs to observe here is that the crux of the issue starts with government interferring in the working of the market. By artificially trying to boost homeownership, the government essentially lets loose excessive corporate risk taking - this is essentially what happened. Like one of the bank CEO's mentioned in the interview - "All those exotic structures like CDO and securtization are a very tiny part of our banking system. So a lot of the temptations didn't exist." Luckily, it seems that the Indian State has not got behind the 'increasing home ownership' bandwagon. Housing market has not come under pressure from the government to boost home ownership and therefore no apparent need to take excessive risks by creating money out of thin air using CDOs and other weapons of mass financial destruction. Rothbard says the 'bust' in the business cycle is usually causally linked to the earlier government generated 'boom'. The market economy is self correcting and will quickly eliminate the earlier government generated errors in investment, unless the process of adjustment is interfered with by government policies. I think it would incorrect to say Indian banks are 'saved' due to tight regulation. http://anand-mind-spark.blogspot.com

Posted On 12/22/2008 4:18:56 PM
Re: Venkatesh Said:


While the political forces focus on the people and try to win their votes, the pudits who run the Central Banks of countries are generally well educated economists whose job it is to put long term stability of the Nation to the forefront. I think this applies universally except in 'grave' situations created by greed, like in the current context.

Posted On 12/24/2008 12:41:10 PM
Shijo Said:


A very interesting perspective.

Posted On 12/22/2008 7:14:42 PM