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Novartis Q3 tops poll, new products sell well

Novartis Q3 tops poll, new products sell well
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First Published: Thu, Oct 21 2010. 03 22 PM IST
Updated: Thu, Oct 21 2010. 03 22 PM IST
Zurich: Swiss group Novartis posted forecast-beating quarterly results as its newest drugs sold well, strengthening its position in the battle for a full takeover of US eyecare group Alcon.
Novartis, seeking to buy out the rest of Alcon, said on Thursday core earnings per share rose to $1.36 in the third quarter, beating the average estimate of $1.29 in a Reuters poll.
“This is a good quarter for Novartis, and shares should continue to perform and help Novartis put further pressure on Alcon’s (Independent Directors Committee) IDC,” Vontobel analyst Andrew Weiss said.
At 0927 GMT Novartis shares were trading 0.6 % higher, outperforming a 0.7 % drop in the European healthcare sector index.
A raft of upbeat data, including US approval for multiple sclerosis drug Gilenya, has boosted sentiment in Novartis, which is now trading at a premium to cross-town rival Roche.
“Data on new medicines such as MenB, our meningococcal vaccine candidate, give me confidence that our pipeline will continue to deliver,” Novartis chief executive Joe Jimenez said.
Its newest products generated 20 % of quarterly sales and the group saw strong demand for its new generic version of Sanofi-Aventis’ blood thinner Lovenox as well as for cancer drug and blockbuster hopeful Afinitor.
Sales of key blood pressure drug Diovan held up despite competition from generics—a generic version of Merck & Co’s rival drug Cozaar was launched recently.
Basel-based Novartis is sticking to its full-year sales guidance of mid- to high-single-digit growth rates in constant currencies, but this target is boosted to the low to mid teens when the recently secured 77 % stake in Alcon is included.
It said Alcon would be slightly negative to operating income margin and slightly positive to core operating income margin.
“We see this quarter as building on strong momentum from the current portfolio as well as providing a solid base for growth from recent pipeline successes,” Deutsche Bank analyst Tim Race said.
“We expect the share to better reflect this following completion of the last step of the Alcon acquisition,” Race said, adding he expected the buyout would be completed in the fourth quarter of this year.
No Change On Alcon
Novartis stuck to its offer to Alcon minority shareholders of 2.8 Novartis shares for each Alcon share—a bid Alcon’s IDC has repeatedly rebuffed as too low.
The recent rise in Novartis shares as well as a strong rise in the Swiss franc means that its stock offer for the remaining 23 % is now looking more attractive.
But Jimenez said he could not speculate on what either the Alcon board or the IDC now thought about the offer.
The bid is worth around 10 % more than when it was first announced and is just short of the average price of $168 it paid Nestle for the 77 % stake, but is still shy of the $180 some shareholders have said they would be willing to take.
Novartis is buying Alcon to diversify and insulate itself from the effects of losing patent protection on big selling medicines such as Diovan.
Novartis trades at around 11 times expected 2011 earnings, while Roche, which has been hit by a string of disappointing pipeline developments, trades at about 10 times.
Investors will eye results from GlaxoSmithKline and Eli Lilly later on Thursday for further insight into the health of the pharmaceuticals industry, which is grappling with price pressures and competition from generic drugmakers.
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First Published: Thu, Oct 21 2010. 03 22 PM IST