Singapore: The US government expanded its bailout of the auto industry, while Japan reportedly considered a $110 billion scheme to buy bad loans from banks, the latest in a string of government moves aimed at reducing the damage from the worst downturn since the 1930s.
Japanese stocks finished modestly higher on their last trading day of 2008, capping a grim year which saw the Nikkei index plunge 42 percent, the biggest loss in its 58-year history, as recession fears battered global markets.
Analysts forecast more pain for consumers and investors in 2009 as bleak economic news continued to flood in from around the world, but said hopes of more government rescue packages were helping to shore up financial markets for now.
“Everyone’s pinning their hopes on economic stimulus policies by the United States and possibly China,” said Tomomi Yamashita, a fund manager at Shinkin Asset Management.
“But people aren’t watching things like company results as closely as they should be. We can’t say for sure that the market’s bottomed out until we see these next spring.”
The US government said late on Monday it was pumping $5 billion into General Motors’ auto and mortgage financing arm GMAC and lending an additional $1 billion to GM to help it buy shares in GMAC, which is considered crucial to GM’s survival. The loan to GM would come on top of assistance extended to the No. 1 US automaker earlier this month.
The government agreed on 19 December to rescue GM and Chrysler LLC with up to $17.4 billion in loans to stave off a collapse that would have cost hundreds of thousands of jobs and dealt a severe blow to an economy already in recession.
GMAC has lost $7.9 billion over the last five quarters as the global credit crunch lifted its borrowing costs sharply and the value of many of its assets plunged.
Japan to rescue
Japan’s government may also be weighing fresh moves to keep the country from sliding deeper into recession. The Sankei Shimbun reported on Tuesday that the government and central bank are hoping to launch a $110 billion scheme by the end of March to buy bad loans and other financial assets from banks using public money to ease the corporate credit crunch.
The move would theoretically free up banks to lend more money to companies which are struggling to raise funds through more traditional means such as selling bonds or new shares. But banks worldwide are growing more reluctant to lend as they brace for a slew of bad loans as economies sour.
Analysts also doubted whether any such plan would be as effective today as in the late 1990s, when Japanese banks were saddled with a much bigger pile of bad loans.
The global crisis has shut many firms out of credit markets and slashed their earnings, forcing companies to postpone expansions, reduce production and cut staff, further undermining economic growth and impeding recovery.
South Korea pledged on Tuesday to ramp up support for its banks next year as more grim economic news flooded in.
South Korea’s industrial output fell 10.7% in November the biggest monthly decline since 1987, as domestic and export demand slumped. Some analysts say Asia’s fourth-largest economy will shrink next year for the first time in 11 years, putting pressure on its central bank to cut interest rates further.
In New Zealand, data showed household borrowing fell for the first time in 17 years in November as consumers cut spending in the face of recession. Without a solid revival in consumer spending, there is little hope for a strong global recovery. Reports on Monday showed Europe was also slipping into a deeper funk. The French economy stalled, morale at Italian businesses sank to its lowest level since at least 1991 and the Chartered Institute of Personnel Development forecast as many as 600,000 people could lose their jobs in Britain next year.
Many forecasters believe the downturn will continue well into mid-2009, with more layoffs and bankruptcies to come, but investors are hoping battered stock markets will rebound sooner in anticipation of a recovery.