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Oil slips below $69 ahead of IEA stocks data, Fed meet

Oil slips below $69 ahead of IEA stocks data, Fed meet
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First Published: Wed, Aug 12 2009. 02 31 PM IST
Updated: Wed, Aug 12 2009. 02 31 PM IST
London: Oil slipped towards $69 a barrel on Wednesday, falling for the fifth straight session, as growing concerns about the strength of demand pressured prices ahead of the release of weekly US inventory data.
World oil demand growth will be lower in 2010 than previously forecast, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its monthly market report on Wednesday, with evidence a global recovery is underway still limited.
The Paris-based agency, adviser to 28 industrialised nations, said global oil demand was now seen recovering by just 1.3 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2010, having fallen by 2.3 million bpd this year as the economic crisis curbed consumption. World oil demand hit a peak of 86.5 million bpd in 2007.
“Evidence of a bottoming out of the recession is still a bit patchy. The latest data on industrial production for some of the larger countries remains negative,” David Martin, analyst at the IEA, told Reuters.
“There is not clear evidence yet we have seen the worst.”
U.S. light crude for September delivery fell 25 cents to $69.20 a barrel by 0857 GMT, having lost $1.15 on Tuesday following Wall Street losses and after the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) also revised down its oil demand forecast.
London Brent crude fell 50 cents to $71.96.
Falling demand for oil has seen inventories of crude and oil products stack up around the world.
Combined with the impact of an insipid U.S. summer driving season, the drawdown in stocks typical of this time of year has not happened. The IEA said stocks in developed countries stood at almost 68 days of forward cover at the end of June.
On Tuesday, weekly stocks data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) showed an unexpected fall of 1.4 million barrels in crude stocks, together with a larger-than-expected 2.3 million barrels fall in gasoline stocks.
But the data, released after Tuesday’s prices settlement, failed to lift the oil market.
“Today traders will be watching the Fed meeting and the EIA data. The stronger dollar and waning sentiment for equities have been short-term bearish for crude, which has been trading as an asset class recently,” said Jonathan Kornafel, Asia director of US-based Hudson Capital Energy.
The EIA, the statistical arm of the US Department of Energy, will release its own weekly snapshot of U.S. fuel inventories at 1430 GMT.
Data from the EIA and API can diverge widely.
An expanded Reuters poll of analysts on Tuesday showed expectations of a 700,000-barrel rise in crude stocks, a 1.3-million-barrel increase in gasoline stocks and a 200,000-barrel drop in distillates stocks.
Traders will also keep a close eye on the two-day US Federal Reserve meeting that ends later on Wednesday with a statement expected at about 1815 GMT.
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First Published: Wed, Aug 12 2009. 02 31 PM IST