Singapore: Concerns about the debt burden facing countries trying to spend their way out of the economic downturn spooked investors on Thursday despite optimism from president Barack Obama that the US economy was past the worst.
“It’s safe to say we have stepped back from the brink,” Obama told a fundraiser in Beverly Hills. “There is some calm that didn’t exist before.”
But despite increasingly upbeat comments from policymakers, global markets have focused on the extra debt governments are taking on to fund their stimulus packages, ever since Standard & Poor’s lowered its outlook for Britain’s sovereign credit ratings to negative a week ago.
That prompted scrutiny of other major economies -- including the United States -- where concerns about the US debt mountain sent Treasury prices and stocks tumbling on Wednesday.
Asian stocks fell in turn on Thursday and European bourses were expected to open lower, taking their cue from Wall Street’s weakness.
Global markets are also watching developments in the US auto industry, where General Motors Corp moved closer to filing the largest bankruptcy ever for a US industrial company after a crucial bond exchange proposal failed.
GM said in a statement an offer to exchange $27 billion in bond debt for a 10% stake in a reorganised company by a midnight deadline had fallen far short of the 90% acceptance target.
GM FACES BANKRUPTCY, OPEL FUTURE UNCERTAIN
GM’s board was expected to meet this week to consider the dwindling options available, but the company is widely anticipated to follow fellow US automaker Chrysler into bankruptcy.
Chrysler faces a key court hearing on Thursday expected to clear the way for Fiat SpA, along with labour unions and the US and Canadian governments, to take control of a restructured company in exchange for $2 billion paid to lenders.
The US government-brokered bankruptcy for Chrysler has been seen as a test case for the more complex and larger filing expected from GM in the next few days.
In Germany, talks on shielding GM’s European brand Opel from the looming bankruptcy of its parent ended without a resolution. German finance minister Peer Steinbrueck said he hoped a deal could be reached on Friday, but said there was “surprise and disappointment” with the stance of US negotiators.
Ministers said the battle for Opel had narrowed to a two-way race between Fiat and Canadian auto parts company Magna But choosing a final bidder for Opel and closing a deal could take months -- time neither the carmaker nor the German government have with GM’s bankrupcty looming.
To tide Opel over, Germany has put together a €1.5 billion ($2.1 billion) aid package. But it has made this aid contingent on the US government and GM agreeing to its plan to temporarily place Opel assets in a trust, a move that would protect its patents and technology from GM creditors.
Ministers said they expected answers from the United States by Friday to allow the bailout to proceed.
NEW ZEALAND’S DEBT IN THE SPOTLIGHT
In its annual budget on Thursday, New Zealand’s government announced the biggest deficit in 25 years and forecast 10 years of government deficits, with debt peaking at 43% of GDP in 2016-17.
The government had been trying to give the economy enough of a boost to help deal with the worst recession in decades while avoiding boosting debt to a level that would have prompted a downgrade by the ratings agencies.
The risk of a downgrade appears to have been averted -- S&P upgraded its outlook for New Zealand to stable from negative after the budget, and Moody’s affirmed its stable outlook.
“The change in the outlook on the foreign currency rating reflects our view that the measures announced in today’s budget will support stabilisation in the government’s fiscal position over the medium term,” said S&P analyst Kyran Curry.
In Britain, outgoing central bank monetary policy committee member David Blanchflower said the world should not assume the worst of the economic crisis is necessarily over.
“My worry is that there can be many false dawns and we shouldn’t just assume that everything is over,” the usually dovish economist told The Times newspaper.
“We have to have a rethink. You’re going to have to throw away lots of economics and start again. How can anybody not say that when we’ve had the greatest financial crisis in 100 years.”
The head of South Korea’s central bank also sounded a cautious note, saying it was still uncertain “whether the green shoots of recovery in the financial markets and real economy will continue into full leaf”.
His comments came despite a survey showing confidence at South Korean manufacturing firms had soared to a three-year high because of optimism about a global economic recovery.