United Nations: Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas asked the United Nations (UN) on Friday to recognize a state for his people, even though Israel still occupies its territory and the United States (US) has vowed to veto the move.
In what he may see as a date with destiny, Abbas, 76, will hand UN secretary-general Ban Ki-moon an application for full UN membership, which the Security Council (SC) must then consider.
His appeal to the council reflects a loss of faith after 20 years of failed peace talks sponsored by the US, Israel’s main ally, and alarm at relentless Israeli settlement expansion that is eating into the land Palestinians want for a state. It also exposes Washington’s dwindling influence in a region shaken by Arab uprisings and shifting alliances that have pushed Israel, for all its military muscle, deeper into isolation.
Abbas will set out his case in a speech to the UN General Assembly (GA), where Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will also take the podium to argue that only direct negotiations between the two sides can lead to a Palestinian state.
US President Barack Obama, who told the UN a year ago he hoped Palestinians would have a state by now, said on Wednesday he shared frustration at the lack of progress. But he said only Israeli-Palestinian negotiations, not actions at the UN, could bring peace. “I am convinced that there is no short cut to the end of a conflict that has endured for decades,” he declared.
But the notion that more talks in the familiar format can succeed where so many have failed seems implausible. So Abbas, a moderate politician opposed to violence, sees no alternative but recourse to the UN, although Israeli and US politicians have threatened financial reprisals that could cripple his Palestinian Authority.
Should that happen, one Abbas aide said, the Palestinian Authority could dissolve itself, forcing the Netanyahu government to consider reassuming responsibility over all of the West Bank - a major demographic and security liability for Israel.
“We will invite you to become the only authority from the River Jordan to the Mediterranean,” the aide, veteran negotiator Saeb Erekat, told Israel Radio.
A gulf of mistrust separates Israelis and Palestinians, who each feel their existence is at stake in a bitter struggle over borders, security, refugees and Jerusalem.
Political divisions among Palestinians, and the constraints of US domestic politics, where support for Israel is solid and long-standing, further complicate any chance of bridging the gaps.
Burden of history
The divisions are rooted in a heavy burden of history, painfully contested narratives and recurring bloodshed. UN partitioned Palestine in 1947, but Arab states rejected that and declared war on the new state of Israel, which then captured more territory than it had been allotted under the UN plan and dispossessed hundreds of thousands of Palestinians, who became refugees.
Two decades after Israel seized the West Bank, including east Jerusalem, and the Gaza Strip in the 1967 Middle East war, the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) effectively reduced its demands to a state on those territories.
A 1993 agreement signed by PLO leader Yasser Arafat and Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin set out a plan for Palestinian self-rule, which was never fully implemented.
Israel has continued to expand settlements in the West Bank, although it dismantled them in the Gaza Strip, now ruled by Hamas Islamists who refuse to recognize the Jewish state.
Two Palestinian uprisings erupted in 1987 and 2000, but failed to end Israeli occupation or bring statehood closer.
US secretary of state Hillary Clinton said the US would continue to push for a durable, negotiated peace. “Regardless of what happens tomorrow in the UN, we remain focused on the day after,” she said on Thursday.
Abbas, who has won new popularity at home for his determined stance, accepts that negotiations are necessary, but argues statehood will put Palestinians on a more equal footing. Israel sees the initiative at the UN as a sinister attempt to shear away its own legitimacy. Diplomats at UN are already looking to limit the fallout from the Palestinian statehood application.
Diplomats at the UN are already looking to limit the fallout from the Palestinian statehood application.
SC could delay action on Abbas’ request, giving the mediating “Quartet” - US, Russia, the European Union (EU) and UN - more time to craft a declaration that could coax the two sides back to the table. But the Quartet, whose envoys met for several hours on Thursday, may be unable to agree on a statement that could satisfy both Israel and the Palestinians.
Another option, advanced by French President Nicolas Sarkozy, would see the Palestinians go to the GA, which could vote to upgrade the Palestinians from an “entity” to a “non-member state” while reviving direct peace talks. That could allow the Palestinians to pursue Israel in war crimes tribunals, but European diplomats are seeking a tacit assurance they would not do so as long as negotiations last.
Sarkozy’s plan sets an ambitious timetable for talks to begin within one month, an agreement on borders and security within six months and a final peace agreement within a year.
Israel was cool to the French proposal. “A Palestinian state should be the outcome of negotiations, which means a Palestinian state should mark the end of conflict and cessation of claims,” Netanyahu’s cabinet secretary, Zvi Hauser, told Israel’s Army Radio.