Washington / New York: Regulators are ordering some of the largest US banks to get tens of billions of dollars of capital to cushion themselves in the event of a deep economic downturn.
While the capital shortfalls at the 19 largest US banks are much larger than analysts had expected, bank shares soared, extending a two-month rally as investors got more clarity over how well the industry will cope with perhaps the most severe recession since World War II.
Among banks expected to need capital, Bank of America Corp shares were up 16.4%, Citigroup Inc 18.1% and Wells Fargo & Co 14.3% in afternoon trading. The Standard & Poor’s Financials Index (GSPF) rose 8.4%.
“The market likes the certainty of putting numbers on the worst-case scenarios of how much capital these banks need,” said Chris Armbruster, an analyst at Al Frank Asset Management, Laguna Beach, California.
“After conducting ‘stress tests’ of the 19 biggest banks, the government has told Bank of America that it needs $34 billion of capital, roughly triple what had been expected,” an industry source familiar with the results said.
According to people familiar with the respective lenders, Citigroup needed $5 billion, while GMAC LLC needed $11.5 billion. Wells Fargo needs $15 billion, Bloomberg News said, while Regions Financial Corp needs some capital, the Wall Street Journal said.
“Bank of New York Mellon Corp does not need capital,” a person familiar with the matter said. American Express Co, Goldman Sachs Group Inc, JPMorgan Chase & Co , MetLife Inc and Morgan Stanley also do not need capital, according to published reports.
All the companies declined to comment. The various sources were not authorized to speak because the official stress test results are not public.
“Those results are due late Thursday, and about 10 of the 19 banks may need capital. The White House will await results before commenting on potential management changes at banks,” spokesman Robert Gibbs said.
The government has spent three months conducting stress tests to determine banks’ capital needs should economic conditions worsen more than many economists now expect.
If banks were required to raise more capital than expected, it might unnerve investors who had hoped the stress tests might show the industry was in less dire condition than feared.
An inability to sell enough assets could require some banks to convert earlier government aid into common stock, making the government one of their biggest shareholders.
Citigroup analyst Keith Horowitz wrote that banks, other than his own, may need to raise $75 billion after the tests.
Analysts believe other banks that may need capital include Fifth Third Bancorp, KeyCorp, PNC Financial Services Group Inc and SunTrust Banks Inc.
Federal Deposit Insurance Corp Chairman Sheila Bair said that the results should be ‘confidence instilling’.
Pressure on Bank of America CEO
Bank of America’s stress test results are certain to increase pressure on chief executive Kenneth Lewis, who was ousted as chairman last week in a shareholder vote.
That ouster could also lay the groundwork for his departure from his employer of 40 years, including the last eight as CEO. The largest US bank has already received $45 billion of government help.
“We know what Bank of America’s problem is now, but we don’t know what the solution is,” said Ben Wallace, an analyst at Grimes & Co in Westborough, Massachusetts.
Lewis told analysts on an 20 April conference call: “We absolutely don’t think we need additional capital,” adding: “Make no doubt about it, credit is bad, and we believe credit is going to get worse.”
Critics fault Lewis for failing in December to back away from the Merrill merger or disclose Merrill’s sinking finances, as well as for Bank of America’s role in the $3.6 billion of bonuses that Merrill paid out.
The bank might raise capital by converting into common stock some of its $30 billion of privately held preferred shares, or by selling its stakes in China Construction.
It might also sell its Columbia asset management unit, and has said it may sell its First Republic Bank business.
Wells Fargo, Citigroup, GMAC
Wells Fargo opposed taking its initial $25 billion of government aid and did not get government help in buying Wachovia Corp for $12.5 billion at year-end.
Chairman Dick Kovacevich in March called the government tests ‘asinine’. Billionaire investor Warren Buffett, whose Berkshire Hathaway Inc is the bank’s largest shareholder, on Sunday said Wells Fargo needs no more capital.
But analysts have said that Wells Fargo may need a greater cushion against loan losses, despite its having taken a big writedown when it bought Wachovia.
Citigroup’s capital need would be at the low end of the $5 billion to $10 billion it had been expected to require. The bank is preparing an exchange offer that could leave the government with a 36% equity stake.
GMAC, meanwhile, has been struggling with rising auto and mortgage losses, as well as falling vehicle sales at its former parent, General Motors Corp. It said on Tuesday that a GM bankruptcy would not automatically trigger a GMAC filing.