India’s outlook was raised to positive in May from negative in the previous month in Eurasia Group’s latest ranking of 24 countries based on their political risk. Optimism that the Congress party’s strong victory in the 15th Lok Sabha election would help it pursue economic reforms was responsible for the upgrade.
India’s ranking, however, remained constant at 11 with a score of 63 in May. In April, the country’s outlook had been lowered to negative from neutral by the political risk consultancy on expectations that difficult post-election coalition negotiations would increase political and economic uncertainty.
Also See Composite Score (Graphics)
Such expectations were disproved by the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance’s electoral performance, which helped it come back to power without requiring the support of the Left.
Pakistan brought up the rear of the rankings with a score of 44 and a negative outlook on concern that an increasingly weak government will be less able to craft coherent policy.
Also See Previous Editions Of The Index
The index is a composite measure of a country’s government, society, security and economy. While the score indicates stability or instability for the month gone by (May, in this case), the outlook (positive, negative or neutral) indicates which way the scores will likely move.
Mint has partnered with Eurasia Group for GPRI and runs this every month.
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