New Delhi: The southwest monsoon is likely to withdraw from most parts of the country by the end of the third week of October, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said.
Monsoon withdrawal commenced from West Rajasthan on 15 September, with a delay of two weeks. It had withdrawn from most parts of north-west India as on 10 October.
During the last week, it withdrew further from parts of Himachal Pradesh, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, Uttarakhand, West Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan and some parts of East Uttar Pradesh, West Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat and Arabian Sea.
This year’s southwest west monsoon was 97% of its long period average (LPA).
Seasonal rainfall over Northwest India, Central India, South Peninsula and Northeast India was 95%, 106%, 92% and 89% of the respective LPAs. India received a well-distributed monsoon during the June-September months, leading to a record sowing of kharif crops.
Conditions are becoming prevalent for the onset of the northeast monsoon over southern peninsular India. The normal date for the onset of north east monsoon is 20 October. According to IMD forecasts, the northeast monsoon will be normal this year.
According to IMD forecast, above-normal activity will occur over the south peninsula from 24 October.
The southern peninsular region consists of five subdivisions: Tamil Nadu, coastal Andhra Pradesh, Rayalaseema, Kerala and south interior Karnataka.
India has so far received 1% more rainfall than the long-period average (LPA) since the onset of the monsoon in June.
Above normal activity over north east India will continue until 18 October and would decrease thereafter.