Ahmedabad: The Chairman of Economic Advisory Council to PM, Dr C Rangarajan, on Monday said that overall inflation would remain at a high level for some more time, but as the monsoon progresses the food inflation will come down.
“The inflation would remain at a high level for some more time but as the monsoon progresses the food inflation will come down and I expect the overall inflation to come down to 6.5% level by March 2012,” Rangarajan told PTI, on the sidelines of a book launch event at IIM-A.
Replying to a query on further possibility of tightening the interest rates, Rangarajan said, “If inflation continues to persist at the high level, I think the Reserve Bank of India will continue with the policy of tightening.”
On being asked that RBI has already stated that it is not solely responsible for taming inflation and other stakeholders should pitch in to curb it, Rangarajan said, “As far as the government is concerned the role is two-fold.”
“One (is) to keep the fiscal deficit low so that it does not adds to demand pressures. The union finance minister has made it very clear that during the current year that the fiscal deficit will be maintained at the budgeted levels of 4.6 % of the GDP,” Rangarajan said.
“Second is the role of the government in terms of intervention in the food grains market. Now this was done very effectively last year with a result now that year-on-year increase in cereal prices is very low, it is not more than an increase 2-3 %,” he said.
“In the case of pulses, the year-on-year inflation is negative. But in the case of other food articles the prices have risen, there the intervention by the government in terms of releasing of the stocks is not possible,” Rangarajan said.