Below normal monsoon likely from June to September: Skymet
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New Delhi: India to face a below normal rainfall during the June to September south-west monsoon season, said private weather forecaster Skymet on Monday.
According to Skymet, 2017 is likely to remain below normal at 95% of the long period average (LPA) of the 887 mm for the four-month period from June to September. Monsoon is considered normal if it falls in the range of the 96% to 104% of the LPA. This year’s forecast is one notch below that.
India Meteorological Department (IMD) will provide their first forecast about the south-west monsoon on 20 April, giving information about the El Nino as well.
El Nino is a weather condition which develops due to the excessive warming of the Pacific Ocean disrupting the pattern of the June to September south-west monsoon and often leading to drought-like conditions in India.
According to Skymet, June will have a monsoon of about 102% of its LPA, which will be normal. September, too, would have a rainfall of 96% of its LPA. July and August will have below normal rainfall with 94% and 93% of their respective LPA.
This year is the fourth consecutive year, when monsoon rains are not likely to surpass the normal shower.