Using Bayes’ Theorem to understand extreme opinions
The basic principle of Bayes' Theorem is to take a set of 'prior beliefs' and see how they change in the face of given evidence
Dilip D’Souza, writing in his column A Matter of Numbers, gave a great introduction to the Bayes’ Theorem, and used it to help us better analyse the Aarushi Talwar murder case. Analysing murder cases is but one use of this legendary theorem—it has applications in pretty much every aspect of human life. In this piece, we will use Bayes’ Theorem to analyse why people continue to hold extreme opinions.