The number is at least twice the employees laid off by the companies last year, reflecting their under-preparedness in adapting to newer technologies and dealing with the fallout from US President Donald Trump’s protectionist policies.
The companies include both Indian and multinational firms with a large footprint in India.
The seven companies—Infosys Ltd, Wipro Ltd, Tech Mahindra Ltd, HCL Technologies Ltd, US-based Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp. and DXC Technology Co., and France-based Cap Gemini SA—and which together employ 1.24 million people, plan to let go of 4.5% of their workforce in 2017.
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Most of them will end the year with fewer employees than they started with, despite continuing to hire young engineers, according to the HR heads at two of the seven companies.
The numbers were collated by Mint after extensive interviews with 22 current and former employees across these seven companies.
Preparing the ground for layoffs, each of these seven companies has already put a higher number of employees on notice by awarding them the lowest ratings. Cognizant has placed more than 15,000 employees in the lowest category (bucket IV), and Infosys has placed more than 3,000 senior managers in the category of employees needing improvement.
DXC Technology is in the midst of a three-year plan to reduce the number of offices in the country from 50 to 26. The company plans to ask 5.9%, or 10,000, of its 170,000 employees to leave this year.
All seven companies are still in denial mode and attribute the planned exits to a “marginal" increase in the number of poor performers on account of a “more rigorous" performance evaluation process.
“Cognizant has not conducted any layoffs," a spokesman said, adding that the performance-based reviews this year are consistent with past ones.
“Our performance management process provides for a bi-annual assessment of performance," a spokeswoman for Infosys said, declining to share the number of employees asked to leave in the current quarter. “We do this every year and the numbers could vary every performance cycle"
“Performance appraisal may also lead to the separation of some employees from the company and these numbers vary from year to year," said a Wipro spokesperson.
Spokespersons for Wipro, Infosys and Capgemini termed the numbers cited in this article, in terms of employees being laid off, speculative. A DXC spokesperson declined comment.
“We continue to implement strategies to meet the changing demands of business in the current global economic environment. As a performance driven organization, we assess employee performance on a regular basis and take necessary actions wherever necessary," said a spokesperson for Tech Mahindra.
A spokesperson for HCL said that the company does not have any plans to ask more employees to leave in the current year.
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In the past, between 1% and 1.5% of a large Indian IT firm’s employees would be asked to leave every year on account of poor performance. The number was 3% for foreign companies with large Indian operations. This year, the range is likely to be 2-6% across Indian and foreign companies.
Tata Consultancy Services Ltd (TCS), the largest IT employer with close to 390,000 employees, does not have any plans to ask anyone to leave this year, said a spokeswoman.
At the heart of the problem is the fundamental change in the business model that Indian IT companies are wrestling with. It’s as if the world has become digital, and they haven’t (at least, not enough).
“Digital revenue is still less than a fourth of traditional business. Meanwhile, traditional business is slowing. All of us have to re-look at the existing talent pool to make sure it is aligned to future needs," one of the HR heads cited above said on condition of anonymity.
As IT companies start working on newer technologies such as cloud computing, they are fast moving from a people-led model, which means they need fewer employees. Meanwhile, many of the IT companies have embraced automation tools to perform the mundane, repeatable tasks that were performed by an army of engineers earlier.
“The entire pyramid structure (organizational structure) is getting disrupted," the second HR head cited earlier added.
That speaks of a bigger problem, said an expert.
“What required 50 programmers, analysts or accountants 5 years ago can be done by a handful of smart thinkers and much smarter systems," said Phil Fersht, CEO of US-based HfS Research, an outsourcing-research firm. “If I were Prime Minister Narendra Modi, I would be very concerned that a whole workforce generation needs reorienting to address work activities that are growing in demand."
Poor growth and pressure on profitability has prompted most companies to save on costs. In the year ended March 2017, for the first time since 2009-10, TCS, Infosys and Wipro grew slower than industry body Nasscom’s 8.6% growth forecast in constant currency terms, even as profitability of all the companies declined.
Trump’s protectionist policies mean more Indian IT companies are asking Indian H-1B Visa holders to return home.
Infosys has already announced that it plans to hire 10,000 US citizens over the next two years. Wipro has hired over 2,800 Americans over the last 18 months and expects half of its total workforce in the US to be locals by the end of June 2017.
Cognizant, Capgemini, Wipro and Tech Mahindra started letting go of employees in February while Infosys, HCL, and DXC are expected to do so later this month. Most employees being asked to leave are engineers with at least six-eight years’ experience.
“IT industry grew on the twin premise of talent and mobility. Now both these are being questioned. Because of protectionist policies across the world, we have to go for more localization. And the business requirements of clients are in newer areas such as data analytics. Traditional maintenance work is getting automated. So we are seeing a more stringent appraisal process and more people being asked to go," the first HR head cited above said.