Oil tumbles as Donald Trump leads US election in potential Brexit deja-vu
Singapore: Oil prices tumbled on Wednesday as vote counting showed Donald Trump edging ahead in an unexpectedly tight US presidential election, setting world markets on edge in a result reminiscent of June’s Brexit vote.
Crude futures markets roared into action, with trading accelerating as Europe joined Asia from around 0500 GMT, as Trump surprised by defeating Democrat Hillary Clinton in a series of key contests and opening a path to the White House.
US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell to a session low of $43.07 per barrel, down more than 4% from their last close and their lowest since September, before inching back to $43.68 a barrel at 0525 GMT.
International Brent crude futures were down 2.5% at $44.87 a barrel.
“This is dejavu of the Brexit moment, very worrying,” said Bob Takai, president at Sumitomo Corp Global Research in Tokyo, referring to Britain’s surprise vote to leave the European Union in a referendum last June, which led to market turmoil.
The falls in oil came as prices for gold, a traditional safe haven for investors in times of high economic risk jumped, while the dollar fell sharply against a basket of other leading currencies.
“Investors moved into complete ‘risk off’ mode... Trump winning would have negative consequences on the price of oil,” said Jameel Ahmad, vice president of market research at trading platform and research firm FXTM.
“The threat of growth forecasts being downgraded at least over the short-term due to investor uncertainty in theory weakens demand for commodities like oil.”
Trump won the key battleground state of Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, and likely Georgia, and led Clinton in a series of other states that were too close to call.
“In financial markets, Trump’s victory is seen as a ‘shock’, prompting to seek safe-haven assets and this has pushed oil prices down,” said Son Jae-hyun, Seoul-based analyst at Mirae Asset Daewoo. In the longer-term Trump’s pro oil sector policies and anti-Iran views could result in higher prices, he added.
Elsewhere, a report by the American Petroleum Institute (API) showed crude inventory figures rising by 4.4 million barrel was also weighing on markets.