China may buy $90 billion more US goods, says Morgan Stanley
China will likely seek a ‘non-disruptive approach’ to reducing its record trade surplus with the US by gradually increasing the share of additional goods imported from there
Beijing: China will buy an additional $60 billion to $90 billion worth of American goods over the next several years, with agricultural products poised to benefit in the near term followed by energy and ultimately non-high-tech manufactured products, according to Morgan Stanley.
The world’s largest trading nation will likely seek a “non-disruptive approach” to reducing its record trade surplus with the US by gradually increasing the share of additional goods imported from there, Hong Kong-based economists Robin Xing and Jenny Zheng wrote in a report this week. Other economists say China will have to divert imports from other nations.
China’s imports increased by $255 billion, or 16%, to $1.84 trillion last year, customs administration data show. Incoming shipments from the US rose by $20 billion, accounting for less than 8% of the total gain.
Boosting goods imports from the US by more than $90 billion could require Washington to relax controls on high-tech exports to China, “an option in which the US has appeared to show little interest in the current trade talks,” Xing and Zheng wrote.
The White House said in recent days China had offered to cut its trade surplus with the US by at least $200 billion, a number Beijing cast doubt on. It’s unrealistic for China to make such a boost to purchases over two years because it would distort its trading position with other nations and erode its already slipping current account surplus, Xing and Zheng said.
- RBI against independent regulator for payment systems outside central bank
- Germany’s transport authority orders Opel to recall 73,000 diesel vehicles worldwide
- RBI opens banking tap to ease liquidity crunch at NBFCs
- New RBI norms put mobile wallets on par with payments banks
- Imminent NBFC slowdown could lead to credit crunch
Editor's Picks »
- India to put former top climate change official Rajendra Pachauri on trial for sexual harassment
- Rahul Gandhi hits out at KCR, claims Telangana reeling under debt
- Deve Gowda-Siddaramaiah display rare bonhomie ahead of Karnataka by-polls
- Govt allocates Rs 144 crore to AYUSH ministry for alternative medicines
- Esperanto, A language whose time never came
- Policy rethink and higher volumes to aid container shippers
- DCB Bank delivers a strong Q2 but pressure on margins foreseen
- Havells India: Rising costs give a jolt to profitability in September quarter
- All’s well at Mindtree, except for high client concentration risk
- India’s rising steel demand is making companies starry-eyed