Markets to stay volatile on global cues, derivatives expiry

Markets to stay volatile on global cues, derivatives expiry

New Delhi: Equities are expected to stay volatile because of turbulent global markets and the expiry of derivative contracts for September this week, say experts.

Besides, the depreciating rupee has added to investor woes, especially those who have parked funds in imports-linked sectors.

“We are in a really tough global situation with the US and Europe at the centre of the turbulence," IIFL head of research Amar Ambani said.

“It may take a while before the external conditions improve considerably. Emerging markets like India and China are better placed but cannot remain insulated from the overseas mess," he added.

Analysts said the short-term trend has definitely turned negative, with weak sentiments being reflected globally in world indices.

The BSE Sensex fell almost 772 points to end the week at 16,162.06, as global sell-off in equities continued amid grim prospects of world economic growth on warnings of a slowing US economy expansion and persistent euro zone sovereign debt troubles.

“We expect market volatility to continue due to instability in the global market. The market trend will be determined by global cues till debt crisis in US and euro zone is resolved," Motilal Oswal Securities Associate VP sr analyst Parag Doctor said.

Analysts said that as derivatives contracts expire on Thursday, volatility is expected to remain elevated.

“Traders are suggested to trade with strict stop losses as volatility is expected to increase this week due to expiry of derivative contracts," Angel Broking said in a research note.

On the rupee front, the uncertainty continues. The rupee saw massive selling pressure during the last week and closed at Rs49.43/44 a US dollar. Intra day, it tumbled to 28-month low of Rs49.90, as the lingering euro zone crisis pushed up the demand for dollar globally.

Experts said the depreciating rupee remains a cause for concern as it pushes up oil import costs, leading to a higher current account deficit, and intensify inflationary pressures.