Global gold prices inch up on dollar, await cues from Janet Yellen testimony
Bengaluru: Gold edged up for a third day on Wednesday on a weaker US dollar while investors awaited testimony from US Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen and central bank officials expressed caution about further interest rate hikes.
“Gold’s near-term direction will now be at the mercy of whether we get a hawkish Yellen on the Hill (on Wednesday).” said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst at OANDA.
Yellen is set to give her semi-annual monetary policy testimony before Congress later on Wednesday and on Thursday, and investors will be parsing it for clues on when the Fed will start reducing its $4.5 trillion balance sheet, which would have the effect of tightening US money supply.
Meanwhile, two of her colleagues cited low wage growth and muted inflation as reasons for caution on further interest rate increases.
Any pause in US interest rate increases would be beneficial for gold as investors seek returns in other assets. While dollar-denominated commodities typically rise when the greenback declines, reflecting the intrinsic value of the commodity.
Spot gold rose 0.2% to $1,219.20 per ounce at 9.15am, adding to a 0.3% gain in the previous session, its biggest rise since 23 June.
US gold futures for August delivery rose 0.4% to $1,218.90 per ounce.
“I think we have hit the bottom for the short-term period and we are trying to go back to the $1,230 level over the next one to two months,” said Yuichi Ikemizu, Tokyo branch manager at ICBC Standard Bank, adding that the weaker dollar was supporting bullion.
The dollar wobbled in early Asian trading on Wednesday as investors, already wary ahead Yellen’s testimony, digested emails released by President Donald Trump’s eldest son suggesting he welcomed Russia’s help in last year’s election campaign.
Spot gold still targets a range between $1,225 and $1,231 per ounce, as suggested by its wave pattern and a Fibonacci projection analysis, according to Reuters technical analyst, Wang Tao.
“Although the rally from $1,205 an ounce will be pleasing to gold bulls and now becomes technical support ahead of $1,200 and $1,195, gold faces stern technical resistance in the $1,230/$1,231 an ounce region,” said OANDA’s Halley in a note.
“This level capped gold multiple times last week and is now also home to the 200-day moving average.”
Among other precious metals, silver rose 0.8 percent to $15.91 per ounce.
Palladium gained 0.4 percent to $853.15 per ounce and platinum edged up 0.1 percent to $901.49 per ounce. Reuters)