Asian shares, euro ease as bank funding doubts persist

Asian shares, euro ease as bank funding doubts persist

Tokyo: Asian shares and the euro eased on Thursday as doubts remained over how much of the funds banks raised from an inaugural long-term European Central Bank tender will actually flow into struggling euro zone economies and help restore confidence.

The euro inched down to around $1.3040, with traders seeing major support around $1.3000, the 14 December low, above 2011’s trough of $1.2860. The euro reached a one-week high near $1.32 on Wednesday.

Asian credit markets weakened as yields of highly indebted Italy and Spain inched higher despite strong demand at the ECB’s long-term funding operation, with spreads on the iTraxx Asia ex-Japan investment grade index widening by about 4 basis points early on Thursday.

“The ECB’s funding operation is not a fundamental fix to the euro zone’s debt problems and is only a way to buying time, so flight-to-safety bids remain firmly in place," said Shinsuke Kanabu, general manager at Central Tanshi, a Japanese money brokerage.

In further evidence that Japan has become a preferred destination for global funds, government data on Thursday showed non-Japanese investors bought a net ¥2.6615 trillion in short-term Japanese government securities in the week to 17 December, the second largest after a record ¥2.9752 trillion net purchase in the week to 13 August.

It was the third straight week of such net buying of bills. Non-Japanese investors also were net buyers of Japanese government bonds (JGBs) in the same week.

“Foreign investors have helped drive down yields on Japanese short-term securities in recent months as Europe’s debt crisis deepened, suggesting they see Japanese treasury bills as a safe-haven and put priority on safety over returns," Kanabu said.

Despite Japan’s huge public debts and a domestic rating agency cutting its top credit rating on Wednesday, JGB markets remain unfazed. More than 90% of JGB holders are Japanese, giving the country a solid financing backing, unlike countries such as Italy, where foreigners account for some 40% of sovereign debt holdings.

Dollar funding strained

At the ECB’s first ever three-year lending operation on Wednesday, 523 banks borrowed a record €489 billion ($638 billion), well above the €310 billion take-up forecast.

The tender eased concerns about an immediate credit crunch, but it does not directly lead to resolving the huge indebtedness of some euro zone countries, which has discouraged investors from lending to euro zone banks because of their large exposure to sovereign debt.

Analysts have said the ECB loans would lower the cost for euro zone banks to borrow euros in the open market, but would not reduce their dollar funding costs, and banks were likely to use the funds to repay their own debts as they strive to get rid of bad assets and improve their balance sheets, rather than lend.

“With bank balance sheets under stress and the system still required to raise capital ratios under Basel III, the temptation will surely be for banks to sit on this additional liquidity, rather than recycle it back through the economy," wrote BNP Paribas in a daily note.

Italy alone faces about €150 billion of debt refinancing between April and March.

Italian and Spanish government bond yields rose on Wednesday, snapping an eight-session down trend.

The spread between the Italian and German 10-year government bond yields widened by some 20 basis points to 488 bps on Wednesday from the day before. The spread fell below 500 basis points on Monday.

In a sign that dollar funding remained distressed, the London interbank offered rate for three-month dollars rose further to 0.57125% on Wednesday from 0.56975%, the highest since July 2009.

The smooth ECB tender gave investors an excuse to take profits and square positions as volumes get thinner in pre-holiday trading, which has increased volatility.

Global stocks inched up on Wednesday, but weak earnings from Oracle Corp, the world’s No. 3 software maker, weighed on the US technology sector and kept Wall Street broadly flat.