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INR vs USD: Rupee today ended at 70.46 against US dollar
INR vs USD: Rupee today ended at 70.46 against US dollar

Rupee back at 70 against US dollar: 5 things to know

Rupee was under pressure today as a sharp jump in global crude prices and broad strengthening of the greenback weighed on the Indian currency.

New Delhi: The rupee fell sharply today, weakening past the 70-a-dollar mark at the interbank foreign exchange amid a spike in crude oil prices. The rupee ended 70.46 a dollar, down about 88 paise from its previous close. The rupee had closed at a four-month high of 69.58 against the US currency on Friday. A lower-than-expected Q2 GDP growth of 7.1% also hurt the sentiment. Meanwhile, in stock markets, the Sensex gave up most of its early gains and ended marginally higher.

Five things to know about rupee’s fall today:

1) The surge in crude price is putting pressure on rupee, forex advisory firm IFA Global said in a note. Global oil prices surged over 5% today after the US and China agreed to a 90-day truce in their trade war. Reports, citing sources, have also said that Russia had accepted the need to cut production, together with OPEC ahead of its meeting next week.

2) India imports about 80% of its crude oil requirements. India’s trade deficit is under structural pressures from rising electronics-goods import and higher oil prices, said Khoon Goh, head of research at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group.

3) The rupee had hit a record low of 74.48 in October against the US dollar. But a sharp fall in global oil prices eased some concerns over India’s current and fiscal deficit, helping a rebound in the rupee.

4) The renewed interest of foreign investors in Indian markets had also helped the rupee pull back from its October lows. Overseas investors pumped 12,260 crore into the Indian capital markets in November, making it the highest inflow in 10 months due to falling crude oil prices and sharp rupee appreciation.

5) However, so far this year, the rupee is down about 8% against the US dollar. Apart from the OPEC meeting this week, forex traders will also watch RBI’s policy decision later this week. Most economists expect the RBI to hold rates steady. “RBI policy, OPEC decision and UK parliament vote, domestic state election results are next big events to watch out for in near future," said IFA Global.

(With Agency Inputs)

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