Global gold prices dip on prospects of ECB, Fed tightening
Global gold prices fall after a European Central Bank official called for scaling back the bank’s stimulus programme and strong US inflation data raised rate hike prospects
London: Gold prices fell on Friday after a European Central Bank (ECB) official called for scaling back the bank’s stimulus programme and strong US inflation data raised the prospects of another rate hike.
ECB board member Sabine Lautenschlaeger on Friday made the most explicit call so far from an ECB policymaker for paring bank’s €2.3 trillion money-printing programme. “For gold this is bad news because this continues the trend of the market pricing in the normalisation of monetary policy,” said Jens Pedersen, senior analyst at Danske Bank in Copenhagen.
But he said there had already been plenty of headlines about the ECB planning an exit from its bond buying and the US Federal Reserve reducing its balance sheet after its big quantitative easing programme. “It’s difficult to see gold really falling much further on this policy normalisation agenda,” he added.
Spot gold was down 0.5% at $1,323.21 an ounce by 4.00pm. It was down more than 1% for the week, on track for its first weekly decline in four. US gold futures for December delivery fell 0.2% to $1,327.30.
Those “normalisation” actions by central banks tend to drive rates higher, push bond yields up and put pressure on gold, a non-yielding asset. Also weighing on gold was strong US inflation data on Thursday which increased prospects of an interest rate hike in December, while later on Friday US retail sales data is due. The Fed’s next monetary policy meeting begins on 19 September.
“Traders will be closely watching this evening’s retail sales numbers. Another better-than-expected number could lead to US dollar strength and continue to cap gold into the week’s end,” said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst at OANDA.
Gold largely seemed to shrug off the firing of another missile by North Korea on Friday that flew over Japan’s northern island of Hokkaido.
Silver fell 0.3% to $17.69 an ounce and was set to mark its first weekly decline in four. Platinum dropped 0.4% to $974.60 an ounce and was down more than 2% for the week, on track for its biggest weekly drop since early May. Palladium gained 0.1% to $923.60, after marking a four-week low on Thursday. It was heading for a second weekly decline. Reuters
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