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Business News/ Politics / Policy/  India likely to grow at 6% in 2014-15: Gita Gopinath
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India likely to grow at 6% in 2014-15: Gita Gopinath

The Harvard University professor said if the govt delivers on its promise of good governance, growth can return to 7-8%

Gita Gopinath also pitched for India’s rating upgrade and underlined the need for fiscal prudence. Photo: Indranil Bhoumik/MintPremium
Gita Gopinath also pitched for India’s rating upgrade and underlined the need for fiscal prudence. Photo: Indranil Bhoumik/Mint

New Delhi: The Indian economy is likely to grow at 6% in 2014-15 and if the new government delivers on its promise of good governance, reversion to a growth rate of around 7-8% can occur in the coming years, Harvard University professor Gita Gopinath said.

“Let’s just say that 6% growth rate in financial year 2015 would not be unreasonable... if the (Narendra) Modi government delivers on its promise of good governance, speedy implementation, improved infrastructure and manufacturing revival, 7-8% growth is certainly within reach," she said in an interview.

As per the Economic Survey for 2013-14, India’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate will improve to 5.4-5.9% in the current fiscal after remaining at sub-5% level for past two years. The survey added that reversion to a growth rate of around 7-8% can only occur beyond the ongoing and the next fiscal. The domestic economy was expanding by over 9% before being hit by the global financial meltdown of 2008. “The budget provided few details on how the fiscal deficit will be reduced," she said on finance minister Arun Jaitley’s resolve to bring down the the fiscal deficit to 4.1% in 2014-15.

“There were some new revenue sources, like the increase in cigarette taxes and the service tax base, but bigger changes on the expenditure end will be required to make the fiscal deficit sustainable," said Gopinath, the first Indian woman to become a professor at the Economics department of Harvard University. She also pitched for India’s rating upgrade and underlined the need for fiscal prudence. “If the economic environment improves and higher growth rates return, there is certainly a case for an upgrade. One of the ‘do-no-harm’ pieces of the budget is that it did not introduce new subsidies and handouts. That is a welcome sign of fiscal discipline," she added. Describing Modi government’s first budget as a “safe" one, Gopinath said among the announcements that caught her attention included a serious resolve to move to a goods and services tax regime and cutting subsides, including those on fertilisers.

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Published: 23 Jul 2014, 12:46 PM IST
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