GDP to hit $6 trillion by 2027 on digital leap: Morgan Stanley report
India is likely to be the world’s fastest-growing large economy in the next 10 years, driven by digitisation, favourable demographics, globalisation and reforms, says Morgan Stanley report
New Delhi: India is likely to be the world’s fastest-growing large economy in the next 10 years, driven by digitisation, favourable demographics, globalisation and reforms, predicts a Morgan Stanley report.
According to the global financial services major, the trend line in India’s annual gross domestic product (GDP) growth has been accelerating to 6.9% in 2000s, from 5.8% in the 1990s, and this momentum is likely to continue in the next decade as well.
Morgan Stanley expects digitisation will provide a boost of 50-75 basis points to GDP growth and forecast that India will grow to a $6 trillion economy and achieve upper-middle income status by 2026-27. India’s GDP growth slipped to a three-year low of 5.7% in April-June as disruptions caused by demonetisation spilled over to the third straight quarter amid slowdown in manufacturing activities.
Experts believe that reforms over the past year have created disruption in India’s GDP numbers, but the medium term growth potential of the country looks bullish. “We expect India’s real and nominal GDP growth to compound annually by 7.1% and 11.2%, respectively, over the coming decade,” Morgan Stanley said in a research note.
Moreover, gross FDI inflows are expected to amount to $120 billion by 2026-27, almost double the current 12-month trailing run rate of $64 billion. The report noted that the impact of higher GDP growth is expected to get reflected in corporate earnings momentum.
“We think India’s stock market could be among the world’s best performers in the next 10 years, leading to India’s market cap rising from around $2 trillion to around $6 trillion,” the report stated.
- Delhi Metro: South Campus, Moti Bagh among 10 stations renamed
- Modi attacks Congress for spreading ‘lies and rumours’ on Dalit, farmer issues
- Narendra Modi inaugurates Rs11,000 crore Eastern Peripheral Expressway
- ED to seek immediate confiscation of Nirav Modi’s Rs7,000 crore assets under fugitive ordinance
- Finance ministry in talks with investors to set up strategic investment fund under NIIF
Editor's Picks »
- Motherson Sumi continues to face margin pressure in foreign markets
- What the Warren Buffett indicator tells us about market valuations today
- Jet Airways lands with a thud in Q4 as fuel costs increase
- IBC amendments: Some dilutions, and a lot more speed
- Patanjali’s gambit is paying off in toothpaste wars