It’s 2014 all over again. Mirroring its 2014 national performance in India’s most populous state, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is set to return to power in Uttar Pradesh in an emphatic way. Just how dominant this BJP performance is shaping to be is evident from the type of assembly constituencies where it was leading at 11 am: all types. Here are three maps that trace its rise in constituencies that are not considered to be its traditional strongholds.
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Religious minorities (93/133)
There are 133 assembly constituencies in UP where the population of religious minorities—mainly Muslims—is above 22%. At 11 am, the BJP was leading in 93 of these, a near four-fold increase over 2012. By comparison, the Samajwadi Party (SP)-Congress combine was down from 75 to 30, and Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) from 25 to 5.
Of the 140 assembly constituencies in UP where the Dalit population is above 23%, the BJP was leading in 107, against just eight in 2012. By comparison, the SP-Congress combine was down from 94 to 22, and BSP from 34 to 5
Of the 142 assembly constituencies in UP where the rural population is above 93%, the BJP was leading in 97, as compared to nine it won in 2012. By comparison, the SP-Congress combine was down from 105 to 28, and BSP from 26 to 3.
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