ECB warns against global currency war
Davos/Frankfurt: Attempts to target exchange rates risk setting off a currency war, a top European Central Bank (ECB) executive argued on Friday, just days after US officials made their case for a weaker dollar to boost trade.
ECB board member Benoit Coeure said at the World Economic Forum in Davos that talks over exchange rates should be returned to the confines of global meetings like the G7 and the G20, as the recent public noise is proving unhelpful.
“The last thing the world needs today is a currency war,” Coeure said a panel at the World Economic Forum in Davos. “We live in a world where exchange rates are not and should not be targeted for competitive purposes.”
“We see lots of volatility created recently by different statements and I think that’s just not helpful,” Coeure said. “Volatility is not helpful and if that would reach a point where it would create any unwarranted consequence for us, any unwarranted tightening for monetary policy, we would have to reassess.”
Coeure’s comments come after US officials earlier this week made the case for a weak dollar, sending the greenback tumbling to three year lows against the euro.
His remarks echoed those of ECB chief Mario Draghi who on Thursday took a swipe at Washington for talking down the dollar.
The currency volatility comes at an especially sensitive time for the ECB as it prepares to remove stimulus after nearly three years and €2 trillion worth of asset buys.
The stimulus has rekindled inflation but a strong euro will weigh on import prices, putting downward pressure on inflation and raising fears the ECB may not be able to end its bond buys as quick as hoped.
Despite the currency’s strength, the euro zone economy is humming along and a key ECB survey published on Friday suggests that price growth could even be faster in the coming years than earlier thought.
Headline inflation will continue to miss the ECB’s target of almost 2% for years to come but projections in the survey were raised to 1.5% this year and 1.7% next year, underpinning ECB chief Mario Draghi’s cautious optimism after the bank’s policy meeting on Thursday.
Indeed, Coeure added that wages are now ticking up at least tentatively, suggesting that the euro zone may be nearing a tipping point with regard to inflation.
In another piece of hopeful data, lending in December remained near post-crisis highs, thanks to ultra low borrowing costs. Reuters
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