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Business News > Mint Authors > Nikhil Gupta

Nikhil Gupta

ARTICLES BY NIKHIL GUPTA

Over the long term, the AI-led revolution is likely to enhance efficiency. (Reuters)

Fears of AI-led job losses hurting India’s economy may be overblown. Here's why

4 min read . 19 Mar 2026

We have no clear evidence yet of higher spending growth after last year’s GST reset. (Mint)

Did India’s GST reset push up spending? Consumer surveys suggest not

4 min read . 08 Jan 2026

Both wholesale and retail measures of inflation have been very weak this year. (HT)

Nominal versus real GDP growth: Why we must mind the gap

5 min read . 20 Oct 2025

For the first time in Independent India’s history, household spending growth outpaced personal disposable income (PDI) growth in the 2010s decade. (istockphoto)

Tax relief will help but cannot fix the Achilles Heel of Indian households

4 min read . 02 Sept 2025

There are at least five indicators that suggest fading rural strength in the country. (PTI)

India’s rural recovery: Don’t count on it just yet

4 min read . 15 Jul 2025

There are several caveats to consider when we look at the impact of these changes on GDP growth.. (Image: Pixabay)

We can’t expect budget tax cuts to boost GDP growth all that much

4 min read . 17 Feb 2025

If the ICOR is improving (the ratio is falling, i.e.), it means fewer additional units of investment are producing the same unit of output, and so the economy can generate the same level of real GDP growth with lower real investment.

Do we need greater investment? Let’s go by capital efficiency analysis.

5 min read . 31 Mar 2024

By targeting a fiscal deficit of 5.1% of GDP for the next year, the government clearly signalled that achieving a fiscal deficit of 4.5% in 2025-26 is now a feasible goal.

This budget’s fiscal finesse favours the entire economy

4 min read . 08 Feb 2024

A possible cause for India’s male WPR decline could be a rise in discouraged workers, which, if true, could be a serious concern for the economy.

Data debate: Does India need to worry about a decline in its male workforce?

4 min read . 09 Jan 2024

If the RBI wants to keep interest rates higher and liquidity tighter, then it is always more effective to do it in a direct and transparent manner. REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas//o/File Photo/File Photo (REUTERS)

The Reserve Bank must maintain its hawkish stance

3 min read . 03 Dec 2023

Indian export figures are not as impressive as they may appear

4 min read . 27 Jun 2022

By this time, 125 nations were signatories of its agreements, covering about 90% of global trade.

The world must call out America's easy money policy

4 min read . 28 Jul 2021

With a weightage of only 2.4% in retail inflation, the adverse impact of rising oil prices on Indian economy will entirely depend on the extent to which higher crude oil prices are passed on to the consumers. Photo: Reuters

The impact of rising oil prices on Indian economy

4 min read . 22 May 2018

It remains to be seen how goods and services tax (GST) impacts India GDP growth rate. Photo: Bloomberg

Why India GDP growth will remain subdued in 2017-18

4 min read . 24 May 2017