The recent interest rate cut and lower base effect will help stabilise the YoY auto sales in October, says Fitch Ratings (Photo: Mint)
The recent interest rate cut and lower base effect will help stabilise the YoY auto sales in October, says Fitch Ratings (Photo: Mint)

Auto sector cuts losses, as govt schemes, discounts attract buyers

  • Depreciation benefits, discounts have helped a little bit in increasing sales in September in comparison to August, said Sridhar V., partner, Grant Thornton
  • The auto industry is facing a severe demand slowdown on account of high GST rates, farm distress, stagnant wages and liquidity constraints

Mumbai: Sagging auto sector sales showed signs of revival in September on account of depreciation benefits and heavy discounts.

"Depreciation benefits and discounts have helped a little bit in increasing sales in September in comparison to August," said Sridhar V., Partner, Grant Thornton India LLP.

"New introductions have also been instrumental in the slight recovery in passenger car and two-wheeler sales in 19 September over 19 August, while the YoY numbers indicate the extremely cold nature of the market. The market is yet to see the recovery mode set in."

Additionally, the immediate price reduction due to lowering of effective corporate tax rate to 25.17% (inclusive of all cess and surcharges) from 30% for all domestic companies has helped to deepen discounts and drive-in some extra sales numbers.

In August, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman announced several measures to boost the sector, including lifting a ban on purchase of vehicles by government departments, and allowing additional 15% depreciation on vehicles bought till March 2020 among others. The decisions are likely to sustain the trend for a few more months.

According to Fitch Ratings Associate Director Snehdeep Bohra, the recent interest rate cut and lower base effect will help stabilise the YoY auto sales in October.

"What is really important is to pass on the interest rate cut to the customers. New launches ahead of the festival season, including BS6 compliant versions, are also going to support the sales momentum," said Bohra.

However, some industry insiders contend that mitigated decline in sales on a MoM basis has been caused due to wholesale adjustment, since dealerships were over-stocked for the last couple of months. Effectively meaning that the dealers stopped buying from OEMs to reduce the stock pile-up.

The auto industry is facing a severe demand slowdown on account of high GST rates, farm distress, stagnant wages and liquidity constraints.

The sales and production have plunged dramatically, leading to job losses. In August, all major Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) comprising passenger, commercial, two and three-wheeler manufacturers reported massive decline in domestic sales.

As per the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers' (SIAM) August sales figures, the overall sectoral offtake in the domestic market plunged 23.55% to 1,821,490 units, from 2,382,436 units sold during the corresponding month of the previous year. September sales results are awaited.

Moreover, the industry has estimated that around 15,000 contractual manufacturing jobs have been lost and another million are at risk if the slowdown is not reversed.

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