JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said on Monday that some financial firms were doing “dumb things” as he outlined his strategy for navigating the investment market in conditions he said reminded him of the pre-2008 crisis years. Speaking at an annual investor update meet, Dimon said the credit cycle is full of surprises.
“There’s always a surprise in a credit cycle,” he said, adding that the “surprise has often been which industry” is hit hardest.
“You didn’t expect utilities and phone companies in ’08, ’09, and this time around, it might be software, because of AI,” Dimon added.
His comments come at a time when software stocks are facing a sharp sell-off in the global markets amid fears that AI will soon replace their business models. On Monday, IBM shares suffered their worst one-day decline since 2000, falling 13.2% after an update by Anthropic's Claude AI.
Responding to a question during the meeting, Dimon said the current situation reminded him of the three years leading up to the infamous 2008 financial crisis, where “everyone was making a lot of money, people were leveraging, the sky was the limit.”
The JPMorgan CEO admitted that some financial firms were “doing some dumb things”. These involved running behind interest income, which is made through lending and investing activities,
“You feel stupid when everyone’s coining money and everyone’s great… it does feel really good,” Dimon said.
However, he did not name the companies that were involved in these activities.
Dimon said that, despite everyone around him making money, he still exercises caution.
“And then when I think about all the factors taking place, I take a deep breath and say 'watch out’.”
Speaking at the event, the JPMorgan CEO said he was anxious about the US economy, citing higher asset prices and a competitive banking environment like the pre-2008 era.
Even though economists have predicted Donald Trump's tax and deregulatory policies will boost the economy this year, Dimon said his own rule was to consider what could go wrong when expectations were high.
“My own view is people are getting a little comfortable that this is real, these high asset prices and high volumes, and that we won’t have any problems,” he said.
The analyst said it was inevitable that the economic cycle would turn around, which could lead to a wave of borrower defaults that could broadly affect lenders. This, in turn, will affect industries that people will not expect to be impacted, he said.
“There will be a cycle one day… I don’t know what confluence of events will cause that cycle. My anxiety is high over it,” Dimon said. “I’m not assuaged by the fact that asset prices are high. In fact, I think that adds to the risk.”
While investors fear that AI firms like OpenAI and Anthropic could disrupt a lot of industries, the broader S&P 500 is not far from its all-time high.
Swastika is a Digital Content Producer at LiveMint, covering business news and business trends. She has always been intrigued by the numbers that drive news, which has led to a passion for covering finances as a beat - be it personal finance or corporate. Originally from Kolkata, Swastika’s love for news started at home where her family made sure she read newspapers since she was a kid. <br> With over five years of experience in digital news, and one year at LiveMint, her focus includes writing on the business and personal finance beats. Swastika is a 2020 graduate from the Asian College of Journalism, Chennai, with a specialisation in New Media. Before her current role at LiveMint, she worked at major publications like The Telegraph Online, News18.com and The Economic Times. As a Digital Content Producer at LiveMint, she has extensively covered topics like income tax, Union Budget, economy, personal finance tools and cryptocurrency. <br> Swastika’s specialisations include: <br> Corporate news: Writing and breaking stories from corporates and companies <br> Business trends: Finding what's trending in business and churning original stories <br> Personal finance explainers: Writing explainers on income tax, provident fund, etc. <br> Swastika can be followed on her <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/swastika-das-sharma-82a464153/">LinkedIn</a> profile as well as on X at <a href="https://x.com/swastika1005">@swastika1005</a>. She can be reached by email via <a href="swastika.sharma@htdigital.in">swastika.sharma@htdigital.in</a>.
Catch all the Business News , Economy news , Breaking News Events andLatest News Updates on Live Mint. Download TheMint News App to get Daily Market Updates.
Oops! Looks like you have exceeded the limit to bookmark the image. Remove some to bookmark this image.