The week in charts: Weak core output, Russian crude imports, AI edge

Manjul Paul
4 min read27 Jun 2026, 07:14 AM IST
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India's core sector output grew just 0.5% in May, down from 1.8% in April. (Bloomberg)
Summary
In this weekly Plain Facts compilation, we present to you data-based insights, with easy-to-read charts, to help you delve deeper into the stories reported by Mint in the week gone by.

From India's core infrastructure growth losing momentum, to the country's rising dependence on Russian crude imports, the agriculture ministry’s contingency plans for a weaker monsoon and kharif sowing, a potential shift in initial public offering (IPO) fundraising trends, and India emerging as one of the global leaders in AI skills readiness—here is this week's news in numbers.

Uneven momentum

India's infrastructure output grew 0.5% year-on-year in May, slowing from 1.8% in April and marking its weakest growth in seven months, as five of the eight core industries contracted. Only electricity, cement and steel recorded growth compared with May 2025. Electricity led the gains with 8.7% growth, its strongest since December 2025, followed by cement (8.4%) and steel (5%).

Coal recorded the steepest contraction, falling 9.3% and extending its decline to a fourth straight month. Petroleum refinery products (-8.7%), natural gas (-4.9%), crude oil (-4.6%) and fertilisers (-0.9%) also contracted, offsetting gains in electricity, cement and steel and keeping overall core sector growth subdued.

Also Read | Global giants backing India’s shipbuilding boom, says shipping secretary

Crude math

India's Russian crude imports averaged 2.66 million barrels per day (mbpd) in the first three weeks of June, lifting the country’s share of India's oil purchases above 50% as refiners continued buying discounted barrels amid the war in West Asia, according to data from trade intelligence firm Kpler. Russian crude averaged 1.91 mbpd in May, up from 1.04 mbpd in February, when US sanctions disrupted supplies. The US later waived the sanctions until 17 June to help vulnerable economies cope with supply disruptions.

The UAE was India's second-largest crude supplier in June, followed by Saudi Arabia, highlighting that West Asian producers remain key suppliers amid Russia's growing dominance.

Also Read | Why India’s consumers may stay cautious despite easing oil prices

Monsoon watch

With India bracing for a weaker monsoon that could weigh on kharif output, the agriculture ministry has drawn up contingency plans for vulnerable regions. Agriculture minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan said 111 districts with irrigation coverage of 25% or less have been identified as high priority for intervention to mitigate the impact of deficient rainfall.

Despite a prolonged pause in the monsoon so far, kharif sowing has gathered pace. Sown area reached 119.9 lakh hectares until 19 June, up 1.7% from a year ago, with most crops recording higher acreage. However, cotton, soybean and urad lagged last year's levels. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) expects monsoon rainfall to revive in the coming days.

Numbers talk

$1 billion: The direct financing the Asian Development Bank (ADB) expects to provide in India this year to support private sector projects aligned with the country's development objectives.

7,100 crore: The incentives the government plans to disburse in FY27 to support semiconductor fabrication, manufacturing and design projects, Mint reported. The funding aims to attract 15,000 crore in fresh investment and create around 4,700 jobs.

8.33 GW: The estimated capacity of India's future data centre pipeline, more than five times its current operational capacity, driven by rising demand for AI, cloud computing and data localisation, according to Knight Frank India.

1 million tonnes: The volume of liquified petroleum gas (LPG) that India is expected to import from the US in June, Reuters reported. This will be a record high as buyers shift away from West Asian suppliers amid the war.

Over 11,000: The number of sailors stranded in the Strait of Hormuz whom the UN's maritime agency is evacuating following the memorandum of understanding (MoU) signed by the US and Iran to end the war.

Shifting tide

For over a decade, India's initial public offerings have been dominated by offers for sale (OFS), in which proceeds go to existing shareholders rather than to the company. A Mint analysis of Prime Database data shows OFS has accounted for more than half of IPO fundraising since 2012, peaking at 87% in 2020. Jio Platforms could temporarily buck that trend. Based on its draft papers and Mint's estimated issue size, its 35,000-crore IPO would be primarily a fresh issue, pushing OFS's share of IPO fundraising below 50% in 2026. Analysts, however, see this as a one-off effect driven by the deal's size rather than a structural shift in India's primary market.

Leading edge

India has secured the 13th position among 89 economies in the QS World Future Skills Index 2027, released by global higher education analysts Quacquarelli Symonds, which measures countries’ readiness for an AI-driven economy.

Also Read | Why AI data centres are the new goldmine for Indian law firms

With an overall score of 89.42, India leads all lower-middle-income economies, outperforming peers such as the Philippines and Uzbekistan by a wide margin. It is also the only country in its income group to feature in the top 20, ranking ahead of advanced economies including Sweden, Japan, Taiwan, the UAE, Hong Kong, Denmark and Poland.

The report attributes the country’s strong performance to labour-market readiness but warns that better alignment between higher education and employer needs remains a key challenge.

About the Author

Manjul Paul is a data visualization specialist and financial journalist with eight years of experience turning complex datasets into stories that matter. Her data storytelling spans long-form reporting, explainers, and multimedia formats, translating technical analysis into clear, engaging narratives.<br><br> Her reporting covers a wide range of economic, corporate, and policy subjects. On the fiscal side, she has produced data-driven stories on India's budget, fiscal policy, GDP and inflation trends. She has also undertaken deep analysis of large-scale government surveys, including the Time Use Survey and National Family Health Survey, to uncover meaningful socioeconomic insights. Her financial reporting includes analysis of quarterly earnings data from samples exceeding 3,000 listed Indian companies, tracking sectoral trends and shifts in corporate performance. <br><br>Beyond economics, Manjul brings five years of COP summit coverage and a fellowship with the Oxford Climate Journalism Network (OCJN), reflecting a sustained commitment to climate and energy policy. Her political data work spans general and state elections, including detailed examination of candidate affidavits.<br><br> She brings strong analytical rigour, editorial judgment, and proficiency in data visualization tools and programming, and is passionate about applying her skills to produce impactful work on economic policy and environmental sustainability.

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