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Business News/ Elections 2019 / Bihar Exit Polls 2020 Updates: Tejashwi is all set to wrest Bihar from Nitish, shows poll
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Bihar Exit Polls 2020 Updates: Tejashwi is all set to wrest Bihar from Nitish, shows poll

Bihar Assembly elections 2020: Mahagathbandhan will win 139-161 seats, whereas Nitish Kumar-led NDA will be limited to 69-91 seats, according India Today-Axis My India Exit Poll

Bihar Assembly elections 2020: Nitish Kumar vs Tejashwi YadavPremium
Bihar Assembly elections 2020: Nitish Kumar vs Tejashwi Yadav

Bihar Assembly elections 2020 has reached its final phase on Saturday. Around 7 crore voter exercised their voting rights in the three-phase Bihar Assembly elections 2020 amid coronavirus pandemic. Counting for the 243 constituencies will be on 10 November. The battle of Bihar is mainly between two stakeholders — National Democratic Alliance (NDA) comprising incumbent chief minister Nitish Kumar and Opposition's Mahagathbandhan comprising former chief minister Lalu Yadav's Rashtriya Janata Dal and the Congress. Most exit polls including the India Today- Axis My India Bihar exit poll results trickled in giving a clear edge to the Grand Alliance with 139 to 161 seats.

Times Now-CVoter said NDA to get 91-117 seats while Mahagathbandhan to win 118-138 seats in Bihar Assembly. Jan Ki Baat exit poll projects RJD to be the single-largest party in Bihar. Mahagathbandhan will win 139-161 seats, whereas Nitish Kumar-led NDA will be limited to 69-91 seats, according India Today-Axis My India Exit Poll.

The NDA comprises Janata Dal-United by Nitish Kumar (115 seats), the Bharatiya Janata Party (110 seats), Vikassheel Insaan Party (VIP) of Mukesh Sahani, popularly known as ‘Son of Mallah’ (11 seats), Hindustani Awam Morcha-Secular (HAM-S) of former chief minister Jitan Ram Manjhi (7 seats)

Mahagathbandhan includes Rashtriya Janata Dal led by former deputy chief minister Tejashwi Yadav (144 seats) and the Congress (70 seats). Other allies are the Communist Party of India (Marxist-Leninist) or CPI(ML) (19 seats), Communist Party of India (CPI) (6 seats) and Communist Party of India (Marxist) or CPI(M)(4 seats).

Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) of late Union minister Ram Vilas Paswan will play a key role in the Bihar Assembly elections 2020. LJP chief Chirag Paswan walked out of the NDA in the state, citing differences with the JDU, just before the election. LJP put up candidates in 137 of the 243 seats.

Bihar Assembly Exit poll predictions: Catch all the latest updates

-Mahagathbandhan, the Opposition coalition led by the Rashtriya Janata Dal’s Tejashwi Prasad Yadav, could win the Bihar Assembly Election 2020, several exit polls indicated on Saturday

-Grand alliance to win larger vote share in Bihar, predicts News18- Today's Chanakya

NDA – 44-56

Mahagathbandhan – 169-191

Others – 4-12

-NewsX-DV Research Exit Poll predicts tight race

The NDA will get 110 to 117 seats and the Tejashwi alliance will win 108 to 123 seats, according to NewsX-DV Research Exit Poll. The exit poll has given four to 10 seats to the LJP and eight to 23 for others.

-In the India Today-Axis My India Exit Poll survey, nearly 44% of voters preferred Tejashwi Yadav as Bihar’s next chief minister while 35% wanted incumbent CM Nitish Kumar to be at the helm.

-Tejashwi Yadav to dethrone Nitish Kumar, predicts India Today-Axis My India Exit Poll

Tejashwi Yadav is set to wrest Bihar Assembly from Nitish Kumar, according to the India Today-Axis My India Exit Poll. Mahagathbandhan will win 139-161 seats, whereas Nitish Kumar-led NDA will be limited to 69-91 setas. LJP is projected to win three to five seats, while others, including AIMIM and RLSP may win six to eight seats.

-3 out of 5 Exit Polls suggest a close contest between NDA and Mahagathbandhan. Is Bihar heading for a photo finish?

-Voting pattern according to Times Now C-Voter exit poll

A majority of voters in the urban areas of Bihar (43.8%) voted for NDA candidates, according to Times Now C-Voter exit poll. The grand alliance was preferred by a majority of rural voters (40.5 oer cent), it further reported. When it comes to gender-based distribution of voting percentage, the Times Now C-Voter exit poll said that the males showed equal preference for NDA (37.2%) and grand alliance (37.9%). The females, however, chose Mahagathbandhan (40.9%) over NDA (36.3%)

-Republic-Jan ki Baat

NDA – 91-117

Mahagathbandhan – 118-138

LJP – 5-8

Others – 3-6

-ABP-CVoter

Mahagathbandhan – 108-131

NDA – 104-128

Others – 04-08

-TV9 Bharatvarsh prediction

NDA – 110-120

Mahagathbandhan – 115-125

LJP – 03-05

Others — 10-15

-Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat exit poll is projecting a healthy lead for Tejashwi Yadav led opposition alliance over Nitish Kumar led NDA in Bihar assembly elections. Mahagathbandhan is projected to comfortably win with more than a dozen seats more than the half-way mark of 122 seats.

-A vote projection for Bihar election by Today’s Chanakya predicts that the BJP-JDU netted 34% of the total votes polled, while the RJD-Congress received 44%. Other parties, including Chirag Paswan’s LJP, received 22%

-The Opposition Mahagathbandhan led by former deputy chief minister Tejashwi Yadav is all set to to get 169-191 seats in Bihar Assembly elections 2020, shows Today's Chanakya. NDA to get 44-56 seats in Bihar polls.

-A majority of voters in the urban areas of Bihar (43.8%) voted for NDA candidates, according to Times Now C-Voter exit poll.

-As per an Exit Poll conducted by Today’s Chanakya, 63% respondents favoured a change of government in the state, while 35% cited unemployment as the main election issue followed by development (28%) and corruption (19%)

-A vote projection for Bihar election by Today’s Chanakya predicts that the BJP-JDU netted 34% of the total votes polled, while the RJD-Congress received 44%. Other parties, including Chirag Paswan’s LJP, received 22%, it predicted.

-According to Today’s Chanakya survey, 37% of the respondents rated the working of chief minister Nitish Kumar as “poor", while 29% rated it as “average".

-Mahagathbandhan to win larger vote share, predicts Today’s Chanakya

The RJD and Congress-led grand alliance will corner 44% of the vote share in Bihar Assembly election, while the NDA will get 34% of vote share, according to predictions by Today’s Chanakya.

-The threat of coronavirus could not affect polling in the third and final phase of Bihar state elections. The state saw 55.22% people turning up to vote — a shade lower than the 56.66 per cent in 2015.

-According to ETG predictions, NDA to get 114 seats. Mahagathbandhan is likely to get 120 seats while Lok Janshakti Party to grab three seats in the Bihar Assembly Elections 2020.

-TV-9 exit poll

NDA: 110-120

Mahagathbandhan: 115-125 seats

-According to India Today-MyAxis, RJD's Tejashwi Yadav is people's choice for Bihar CM. Nitish Kumar got thumbs up from 35% respondents whereas Chirag Paswan was preferred by just seven per cent.

Republic TV- Jan ki Baat predicts

NDA: 91-117

Mahagathbandhan: 118-138

LJP: 5-8

Today's Chanakya Poll Exit Poll predictions

NDA- 104-128

Mahagathbandhan: 108-131

Others-4-8

ABP C-Voter predictions

The ABP C-Voter exit poll prediction

NDA: 104-128 seats

Mahagathbandhan: 108-131

The fortunes of LJP are not going to shine, according to ABP C-Voter; it could win 1-3 seats.

-Republic TV: Mahagathbandhan to get an edge

According to the Republic TV exit poll, the BJP-led NDA is expected to win anywhere between 91-117 seats in Bihar, while RJD and Congress-led grand alliance could graner 118-138 seats. The LJP is expected to win 5-8 seats, according to Republic TV exit poll

-Vote share prediction

The Times Now-C-Voter exit poll also predicted that the NDA will get 37.70 per cent vote share, while grand alliance will secure 36.30%. The LJP is expected to secure 8.50% vote share and the others 17.50%

-Jan Ki Baat exit poll projects RJD to be the single-largest party in Bihar.

NDA: 91-117

Mahagathbandhan: 118-138

LJP 5-8

Others: 3-6

-Mahagathbandhan to get 124 of 243 seats, Nitish Kumar's NDA to get 110, show initial exit polls

-ABP C-Voter predicts

NDA: 104-128

Grand Alliance: 108-131

LJP: 1-3

-According to Times Now-CVoter's poll projection, Grand Alliance will gain the majority in Bihar with 120 seats

-Times Now-CVoter seat share projections

NDA: 116

Grand Alliance: 120

LJP: 1

Others: 6

- Record turnout in the third phase of Bihar polls

55.22% voter turnout recorded till 5 pm in the third and last phase of Bihar assembly elections, says Election Commission of India

-Poll worker dies on duty in Muzaffarpur, Bihar

A poll worker died on Saturday in Muzaffarpur while on polling duty for the Bihar assembly elections.

"A person who was on polling duty today died today after his health deteriorated. He was an employee of the irrigation department. The body has been sent for a post-mortem," Kamal Singh, Muzaffarpur District Public Relations Officer said.

-Polling concludes for Bihar assembly elections 2020. All eyes are on Exit Polls now.

-What are Exit polls?

Exit poll is a post-voting poll, which is conducted just after a voter walks out after casting his or her vote. Such polls aim at predicting the actual result on the basis of the information collected from voters. They are conducted by a number of organisations. The basic step to predict exit polls is sampling.

-52.80% voter turnout till 5 pm on Saturday

Bihar saw 52.80% voter turnout till 5 pm in the third and final phase of polling on Saturday. Kishanganj district recorded the highest 59.99% polling till 5 pm and Katihar recorded 48.4 per cent.

-Lok Janshakti Party will play a key role

Lok Janshakti Party led by Chirag Paswan is contesting in 137 of the 243 seats.

-Mahagathbandhan seat share

Rashtriya Janata Dal led by led by former deputy chief minister Tejashwi Yadav is contesting in 144 seats

Congress is contesting in 70 seats

Other allies are the Communist Party of India (Marxist-Leninist) or CPI(ML) is contesting in 19 seats

Communist Party of India (CPI) (6 seats) and Communist Party of India (Marxist) or CPI(M) is contesting in 4 seats

-National Democratic Alliance seat share

Janata Dal-United by Nitish Kumar is contesting is contesting in 115 seats

Bharatiya Janata Party is contesting in 110 seats

Vikassheel Insaan Party (VIP) of Mukesh Sahani, popularly known as ‘Son of Mallah’ is contesting n 11 seats

Hindustani Awam Morcha-Secular (HAM-S) of former chief minister Jitan Ram Manjhi is contesting 7 seats

-Bihar Assembly elections Exit polls in 2015

In 2015, the Bihar Assembly elections 2020 was between BJP-led NDA minus JD(U). JD(U) was part of Mahagathbandhan, which also included the Rashtriya Janata Dal and the Congress. Most exit polls predicted that NDA would get somewhere between 100 and 127 seats, a little higher than Mahagathbandhan, but it didn’t indicate any majority. In the final results, however, Mahagathbandhan won with comfortable majority.

-Fight between Nitish and Tejashwi

Will it be a repeat for NDA or grand alliance’s turn? National Democratic Alliance (NDA) comprising incumbent chief minister Nitish Kumar and Opposition's Mahagathbandhan that includes Lalu Yadav's Rashtriya Janata Dal and the Congress are the two main stakeholders in the Bihar Assembly elections 2020.

-55.69% turnout in first phase, 53.51% in second

Bihar recorded a voter turnout of 55.69% in the first phase. Around 53.51% turnout recorded in the second phase of elections.

-Battle of Bihar

The three-phase Bihar Assembly elections 2020 started on 28 October amid a global pandemic. The election concluded on Saturday. The counting of votes will take place on 10 November.

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Published: 07 Nov 2020, 05:33 PM IST
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