Bihar Exit Polls Highlights: Tejashwi Yadav calls meeting of Mahagathbandhan parties at his residence. What's brewing?

Flower and sweetmeat sellers of Patna are maintaining a large stock expecting brisk business on Friday, when votes for the assembly polls will be counted, as winning leaders will be garlanded and laddoos distributed among their followers.

The electoral fate of the candidates are sealed in EVMs, which will be opened at 8 am on Friday. And thereafter, the small businessmen hope, their lady luck will smile. (PTI)

Exit polls are conducted by researches who directly speak with voters regarding which party they have voted for, after which they compile the data and come up with predictions ahead of the actual results. Exit polls are revealed on the last day of election soon after voters leave the polling stations.

RJD leader Sunil Kumar was on Thursday booked for making “inflammatory remarks”, a day ahead of the counting of votes polled in the Bihar assembly elections, police said.

Counting will begin at 8 am on Friday at 46 centres across 38 districts of the state.

Speaking to reporters here earlier in the day, Kumar had said, "People have voted for a change. Tejashwi Yadav's government will be formed in 2025. In 2020, the counting was halted for four hours, and if something like that happens this time as well, we will see a Nepal-like situation on the streets... Responsible officials will not be spared " (PTI)

Axis My India CMD Pradeep Gupta says, "Nitish and Modi combined were the heroes of this election. This election would have been unimaginable without PM Modi... Our data shows Nitish Kumar at 22%, Chirag Paswan at 5%, Samrat Chaudhary at 2%, and any candidate from the BJP at 14% in terms of who people want to see become Chief Minister..."

RJD leader Shiv Chandra Ram Chamar says, “...We will teach a lesson to those officials who will do injustice to us. We are followers of Baba Saheb Bhimrao Ambedkar. We would prefer to die but will not tolerate the atrocities being committed against us...Tejashwi Yadav is going to become the Chief Minister of Bihar. Public opinion is in our favor. They are trying to influence public opinion through false messages and propaganda...If injustice is done to us, we will not remain silent spectators...” (ANI)

Ahead of counting day, RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav calls a meeting of Mahagathbandhan parties at his residence in Patna

Vikassheel Insaan Party (VIP) National President Mukesh Sahni, CPI (ML) general secretary Dipankar Bhattacharya and other leaders have reached Yadav's residence

The Election Commission of India (ECI) on Thursday hailed the "successful" conduct of the Bihar Assembly Elections 2025, with a record voter turnout of 67.13 per cent- the "highest ever" in the state since 1951. The Commission also said that no repolls were requested across any of Bihar's 38 districts.

According to the ECI's official press note, 2,616 candidates and 12 recognised political parties participated in the two-phase polls on November 6 and 11, and none requested repolling in any constituency. (ANI)

Hitting back at Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) leader Sunil Singh over his warning to election officials ahead of counting day, JD(U) leader Rajeev Ranjan Prasad on Thursday said the RJD was "already staring at defeat" and was preparing grounds to question the credibility of the poll process.

Speaking to ANI, the JDU leader said, "These (RJD) people have already lost. What expectations can you have from those who are known for jungle raj? Wherever their defeat seems certain, these people start creating a ruckus. They will surely pin the blame for the defeat on the Election Commission." (ANI)

Ahead of counting day, Bihar DGP Vinay Kumar says, "All preparations have been made. Police are deployed in adequate numbers. Victory celebrations (by any political party) will not be allowed anywhere, as per the Election Commission's guidelines. Counting of votes will be concluded well."

Zero requests for repolls in Bihar Assembly Elections, 2025; Zero appeals during SIR in Bihar with 7,45,26,858 electors in the final Electoral Roll: Election Commission of India

Ahead of counting day, Congress's Bihar in-charge, Krishna Allavarapu says, "We've waited for so many days, so let's wait one more day. Let's see what happens."

He further says, "If there is rigging in the vote counting, then everyone needs to be concerned. The concern is that not only during counting but also before, there are reports of discrepancies. We have put all the facts before everyone..."

A poster dedicated by former Bihar Minister Ranjit Sinha, outside the Janata Dal (United) office in Patna, has bestowed Chief Minister Nitish Kumar with the title of a 'Tiger who still has the power (Tiger Zinda hai)', describing the latter as the "protector" of all the communities, including those on the margins of society. (ANI)

Leaders across the political spectrum of Bihar on Thursday held hectic parleys and reviewed last-minute preparations as the state was readying for the counting of votes polled in the recently held high-stakes assembly polls that will decide whether Nitish Kumar, the longest-serving chief minister, will get a record fifth term.

RJD leader and INDIA bloc's CM candidate Tejashwi Yadav said his party workers and the common people were ready to handle "any unconstitutional activity during counting", while a lesser-known RJD leader, Sunil Kumar Singh, threatened that a "Nepal-like situation" would be witnessed on the streets if "counting is halted, like in 2020". (PTI)

On Bihar Assembly elections, AAP MP Sanjay Singh says, "We'll have to wait for the results on 14th November. I've been saying one thing clearly that the vote theft will have a profound impact on this election. It's undeniable that 80 lakh votes were stolen in Bihar. 80 lakh voters were deprived of their right to vote. We saw how, before the election, forms were being submitted with the signatures of dead people. Forms were being submitted with the signatures of people who didn't even appear. This is how the scam has come to light, and Gyanesh Kumar, Prime Minister Narendra Modi, and the entire BJP are involved in it. This will definitely have an impact on the election results"

Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) leader Sanjay Singh on Thursday levelled serious allegations of large-scale electoral malpractice in the Bihar Assembly elections, claiming that nearly 80 lakh votes were "stolen," and accused the BJP of orchestrating the fraud.

Speaking to ANI ahead of the results scheduled to be declared on November 14, Singh asserted that the alleged manipulation of votes would have a significant bearing on the outcome of the elections. (ANI)

Jan Suraaj spokesperson Vivek Kumar says, "We are confident that for the first time in 30-35 years, the people of Bihar are winning. In a state where votes have always been cast based on caste and religion, for the first time in 40 years, the government opened its coffers. There was so much fear that if we (the government) didn't work and didn't open the coffers, people would vote for the new option... these exit polls are all fake. When the EVMs are opened tomorrow, you will see the magic of the public. A new system will be created tomorrow..."

Rohtas District Magistrate Udita Singh on Thursday refuted the Rashtriya Janata Dal's (RJD) claim of administration "sneaking" Electronic Voting Machines (EVMs) inside a counting centre without any prior notice, saying that the truck instead carried empty steel boxes.

Addressing a press conference, DM Udita Singh said that the truck was checked in the presence of several candidates and their supporters. She added that all the boxes in the truck were found to be empty.

Singh said, "Yesterday evening, we received information that a truck loaded with EVMs had entered the Bazaar Samiti, Takiya. After receiving this information, we found that a truck had entered the Bazaar Samiti at 7:59 pm, and the police had properly checked it; its entry was recorded in the logbook. In the entry, it was stated that the truck was full of empty boxes."

Ahead of the counting of votes for the Bihar Assembly elections set to happen on November 14, Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) leader Tejashwi Yadav held an online meeting with the party's candidates, party office bearers at the district level, having in-depth discussion was held on guidelines related to vote counting and preparations for the counting process.

Repeating allegation of alleged electoral malpractice, the RJD leader said that the party, along with the people of Bihar are "alert, vigilant, cautious, and fully capable, aware, and prepared with enthusiasm, hope, and confidence to deal with any kind of improper unconstitutional activity." (ANI)

Ahead of the counting of votes for the Bihar Assembly elections set to happen on November 14, RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav held an online meeting with the party's candidates, party office bearers at the district level, having in-depth discussion was held on guidelines related to vote counting and preparations for the counting process.

"Last night, through a video conference with party candidates and district organization office-bearers, an in-depth discussion was held on guidelines related to vote counting and preparations for the counting process," Tejashwi Yadav posted on X in Hindi.

On Bihar exit poll and vote counting, BJP candidate Nitin Nabin says, "... NDA has worked for the development of Bihar. People have faith in the NDA government, and we are going to secure a big victory... Apart from the exit poll, we also believe that we will achieve better results... Those who falsely accuse others of manipulating the EVM know they will lose in Bihar. When they win elections in other states, they never blame EVM..."

On Bihar Assembly elections, AAP MP Sanjay Singh said, "We'll have to wait for the results on 14th November. I've been saying one thing clearly that the vote theft will have a profound impact on this election. It's undeniable that 80 lakh votes were stolen in Bihar. 80 lakh voters were deprived of their right to vote. We saw how, before the election, forms were being submitted with the signatures of dead people. Forms were being submitted with the signatures of people who didn't even appear. This is how the scam has come to light, and Gyanesh Kumar, Prime Minister Narendra Modi, and the entire BJP are involved in it. This will definitely have an impact on the election results"

On Bihar Assembly Elections 2025, JDU leader Neeraj Kumar says, "Tomorrow is the date set by the Election Commission for counting of votes...The public mood is clear: they are not going to hand over power to Tejashwi Yadav... Nitish Kumar and the NDA will have a landslide victory. We will celebrate the victory. We will uphold the pride of Bihar."

The Election Commission of India (ECI) has extended the Model Code of Conduct in the Patna district till November 16, to maintain law and order following the counting of votes for the Bihar polls on November 14, a statement by the District Administration said on Thursday.

The Model Code of Conduct came into effect on October 6, with the ECI announcing the schedule for the Bihar elections.

The results of the Bihar Elections are set to be announced on November 14. Who will be the next CM? the details will be out once the winner is decided.

"The wave of change in Bihar made people vote in such large numbers. The voting percentage was around 70%. People know what it would be like if RJD came to power. They have seen Lalu Yadav's direct and indirect rule for a good 15 years. People don't want that again... Exit polls have predicted that the NDA is forming a government with a huge majority..." the MP said, as per ANI.

The senior Congress leader said in an interaction with PTI, "I don't trust exit polls, however, when I had gone to Bihar... I didn't feel that there was any one-sided contest. There was an even contest. Discussion were being done that how much votes Prashant Kishor's party and AIMIM would cut. Some exit polls are showing 180 seats, some 160 seats (to NDA). If the NDA wins more than 140 seats, then it would be only due to manipulated voter lists and manipulated EVMs."

Congress leader Rahul Gandhi on Wednesday alleged that the BJP and Election Commission are colluding to carry out "vote chori" and "murder of democracy" is playing out live.

In a post on X, Gandhi shared a post of the Congress claiming that a person voted in the Haryana, Delhi and Bihar polls.

Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraaj Party will be getting a maximum of 5 seats, as per all pollsters. Although it renders the party negligible in the greater scheme of things, their ability to take a chunk of the vote share and disrupt the balance cannot be overlooked. For now, all eyes on 14 November.

In an interaction with ANI, the Jharkhand minister said, "... I urge the Election Commission to stop this exit poll trend. These exit polls are being shown to break our morale. A similar exit poll was conducted in Jharkhand, yet we still won... We will secure victory in Bihar. I have been on the ground, met the people, and they are rejecting the BJP."

Seat Projection

BJP+ 160 ± 12 Seats

RJD+ 77 ± 12 Seats

Others 6 ± 3 Seats

BJP+ 44% ± 3%

RJD+ 38% ± 3%

Others 18% ± 3%

Caste Analysis – Yadav

BJP+ 23% ± 3%

RJD+ 67% ± 3%

Caste Analysis – Muslim

BJP+ 12% ± 3%

RJD+ 69% ± 3%

Caste Analysis – SC

BJP+ 58% ± 3%

RJD+ 26% ± 3%

Caste Analysis – OBC & EBC

BJP+ 55% ± 3%

RJD+ 24% ± 3%

While the NDA is predicted to win the polls and form the government, the RJD has been predicted to come out as the single-largest party.

NDA to win in 10 more seats than the MGB in Pataliputra-Magadh as per Axis My India.

Although the difference in vote share percentage is minimal between the two top alliances, NDA to get seven more seats than MGB in Mithilanchal, as per Axis My India.

Axis My India predicts 15 seats for the MGB in Seemanchal and only 8 for the NDA.

NDA has an edge in Champaran.

While most metrics give an edge to the NDA, when it comes to the preferred chief minister, RJD's Tejashwi Yadav is preferred as the CM by quite a margin.

While men are in favour of the MGB, women prefer the NDA. This probably hinges on Nitish Kumar's ban on alcohol in the state, which has found him a strong support base among the women of Bihar.

The MGB has stronger support from students, labourers, and farmers, while office-goers and self-employed individuals, along with housewives, are on the NDA's side.

The MGB has an edge when it comes to people holding postgraduate and higher qualifications. However, the NDA takes the edge in all other categories.

Axis My India's prediction shows that the votes are divided in Bihar almost equally betweeen the two chief coalitions when it comes to a geography-wise analysis. While the NDA edges out the competition with 43%, the MGB is slightly behind at 41%.

The NDA has an overall advantage when the predictions are broken down into sub-castes as well, with the MGB only dominating in the Yadav and Muslim communities.

The Axis My India predictions for Bihar Assembly Elections 2025 also predict a win for the NDA, thus adding to miseries off Tejashwi-Yadav-led Mahagathbandhan. Only 14 November, the date of results of the Bihar Assembly Elections, will give us the actual numbers.

‘The people of Bihar have voted for change, and that change is about to happen’: Samajwadi Party chief confident about Bihar polls despite pollsters predicting otherwise.