Delhi Exit Poll Results 2025: AAP outperformed exit polls before. Who wins this time as pollsters predict BJP’s win?
Delhi Exit Poll Results 2025: The AAP formed outperformed exit poll prediction in the last three assembly elections. Here's a look at what exit polls predicted in 2013, 2015 and 2020 Delhi Elections; and how accurate they were.
Delhi Exit Poll Results 2025: The Delhi Election 2025 Exit polls predicted on Wednesday a massive setback for the Arvind Kejriwal's Aam Aadmi Party (AAP). Most of the pollsters said the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) may win and form government in Delhi this time, breaking a 27-year spell.
Pollsters including P-Marq, Peoples Pulse, JVC Poll, People's insight and Chanakya Strategies predicted a comfortable win for the BJP in Delhi. Meanwhile, Matrize predicted a hung assembly in Delhi. Only two exits polls gave a massive lead to the AAP.
But should we believe these Delhi exit polls?
Most exit polls in the last three Delhi assembly elections were nearly correct, but failed to weigh the extent of AAP's performance. Here's a look at what exit polls predicted in the 2013, 2015 and 2020 Delhi Elections and how accurate they were:
2013 Delhi Election
An exit poll shared by NDTV showed an extraordinary debut for Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) chief Arvind Kejriwal. According to the report, the average of polls conducted by five agencies showed Kejriwal winning 17 of the 70 seats in the Delhi Assembly, the same as the Congress, while the BJP landed 34 seats.
In actual/official results, the AAP won 28 seats, the Congress eight, and the BJP bagged 31 of the 70 assembly seats. This ended the Congress' 15-year rule in Delhi. The AAP formed a government in alliance with Congress.
To form a government in the national capital, a political party needs to win 36 of the 70 assembly seats.
2015 Delhi Election
Assembly elections were held in Delhi in 2015 after the President's rule was imposed in the national capital in 2014.
In 2015, most exit polls projected a clear majority for the AAP. However, they didn't successfully capture the extent of Arvind Kejriwal’s sweeping win.
Business Today reported that the average of six major exit polls estimated that the AAP would secure around 45 seats, while the BJP was expected to win 24 seats and the Congress one seat.
However, the actual results exceeded expectations; the AAP won a whopping 67 of the 70 assembly seats, leaving the BJP with three seats, while the Congress was completely wiped out.
2020 Delhi Election
In the 2020 Delhi Assembly elections, exit poll predictions were said to be closer to reality. But the AAP’s final tally once again outperformed predictions.
At least six exit polls showed a clear win for the AAP. The India Today-Axis My India poll showed a massive win for the party, with a range of 59-68 seats for the AAP. Exit polls conducted by Times Now-Ipsos, ABP News—Cvoter, Jan-ki-Baat, and Cicero also predicted that the party would win more than 45 seats.
However, the actual results were that the AAP won 62 seats, the BJP secured only eight seats despite being projected to win 15, andCongress, again, settled at zero seats.
Delhi Election 2025
Polling for 70 assembly seats in Delhi and by-polls for two seats, one each in Tamil Nadu and Uttar Pradesh, began on Wednesday morning. Voting commenced at 7 am and will end at 6 pm on Wednesday, February 5. The Delhi Election results will be declared on Saturday, February 8.
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Business NewsElectionsAssembly ElectionsDelhi Exit Poll Results 2025: AAP outperformed exit polls before. Who wins this time as pollsters predict BJP’s win?
First Published:5 Feb 2025, 04:53 PM IST
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