
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE: TMC candidates Kunal Ghosh and Shashi Panja staged a sit-in protest at Khudiram Anushilan Kendra on Thursday, alleging irregular activities inside the facility. This came hours after party supremo Mamata Banerjee urged TMC leaders, workers and polling agents to maintain a 24-hour vigil over strongrooms housing EVMs.
Earlier in the day, Today's Chanakya has predicted a clean sweep by the BJP in West Bengal and Assam, an easy win for the DMK in Tamil Nadu and a close fight between the UDF and the LDF in Kerala.
Assembly Elections in West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam and Puducherry are over.
The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is projected to script a historic victory in West Bengal and a third consecutive term in Assam, while the Congress-led United Democratic Front is set to win power in Kerala, as per the exit poll results. In Tamil Nadu, the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) might beat anti-incumbency and retain the state with an exit poll projecting a bumper debut performance for actor Vijay-led TVK.
In Puducherry, all exit polls predicted that the National Democratic Alliance was set for victory.
Exit polls not so accurate
Remember, exit polls have not been accurate in the past. The actual results will be known on 4 May when the votes polled in thes five elections will be counted. In 2021, most exit polls put out wrong predictions for West Bengal, where the TMC won a landslide victory. Similar missteps marked the forecast for the 2024 general elections.
In West Bengal, four of the six pollsters gave a narrow win to the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), and two are projecting a sweep for the ruling Trinamool Congress (TMC). The contest in Bengal was between the ruling TMC and a resurgent BJP.
Matrize, P-Marq, Poll Diary and Praja Poll have given an edge to the BJP, while Janmat Polls and People's Pulse have projected a clean sweep for TMC in the state.
The TMC has rejected exit poll predictions, citing the not-so-accurate past record of the surveys.
Vijay may spring a surprise in TN
In Tamil Nadu, all pollsters, except one, projected that the DMK-led alliance might achieve a majority in the 234-member assembly. Axis My India predicted that actor-turned-politician Vijay could end up as the single-largest party, leading to the complete collapse of the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK).
Leading pollster Today's Chanakya will release the exit poll results today, while Pradeep Gupta-led Axis My India is also expected to release the results of West Bengal today.
Follow West Bengal Election 2026 LIVE updates here
he Election Commission is likely to reduce the number of counting centres for the West Bengal Assembly polls to 77 from 87 earlier, even as questions were raised by the ruling Trinamool Congress over the move just days ahead of counting, an official said on Thursday, PTI reported.
BJP workers block the movement of a TMC vehicle in Bhabanipur assembly constituency.
One of them says, "There is something in the vehicle. Mamata Banerjee has brought something in her vehicle. The vehicle will not be allowed to move."
West Bengal CEO is holding a press conference at 10.30 pm regarding TMC leaders Shashi Panja and Kunal Ghosh's held dharna in front of the strong room, alleging that an “outsider” opened the ballot.
BJP leader Tapas Roy said, "They cannot do this. They cannot assemble in front of the strong room. No sit-in demonstration or slogan shouting should happen in front of a strong room. This is wrong. Why did the Kolkata Police allow it?...What manipulation are they (TMC) accusing us of? Two of us had come here when we heard about it. We came when we were told to visit here..."
Mamata Banerjee dismissed exit polls predicting a BJP victory, asserting the TMC will win 226 seats in the West Bengal Assembly elections. She accused BJP of manipulating media narratives to demoralize her party and urged workers to remain vigilant to prevent EVM tampering ahead of vote counting.
Today's Chanakya predicted 192 ± 11 seats for the BJP, 100 ± 11 seats for the TMC and 2 ± 2 Seats for others.
West Bengal 2026
Seat Projection
BJP 192 ± 11 Seats
TMC+ 100 ± 11 Seats
Others 2 ± 2 Seats
West Bengal 2026
Vote Projection
BJP 48% ± 3%
TMC+ 38% ± 3%
Others 14% ± 3%
Tamil Nadu 2026
Seat Projection
AIADMK+ 45 ± 11 Seats
DMK+ 125 ± 11 Seats
TVK 63 ± 11 Seats
Others 1 ± 1 Seats
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE: Today's Chanakya predicts DMK's victory, 63 seats for TVK in Tamil Nadu:
AIADMK+ 45 ± 11 Seats
DMK+ 125 ± 11 Seats
TVK 63 ± 11 Seats
Others 1 ± 1 Seats
Keralam 2026
Vote Projection
UDF 40% ± 3%
BJP+ 20% ± 3%
LDF 38% ± 3%
Others 2% ± 1%
Unlike other exit polls like Axis My India, P-Marq and Matrize, Today's Chanakya predicted a hung assembly in Kerala. Others have predicted a clean sweep for the Congress-led LDF over rulling UDF.
Today's Chanakya predicts UDF vs LDF close fight in Kerala: A political party needs to win 71 seats to form a government in the state. But Today's Chanakya is predicting a hung assembly here
Seat Projection
UDF 69 ± 9 Seats
BJP+ 7 ± 4 Seats
LDF 64 ± 9 Seats
Others 0 ± 1 Seats
Today's Chanakya, like other exit polls, predicted BJP's victory in Assam. It said the BJP and its allies are likley to win around 102 seats in the Assam elections 2026.
Axis My India projected that the BJP-led NDA would secure 88-100 seats and the Congress-led alliance 24 to 36 seats in Assam, which has 126 assembly seats.
JVC predicted 88-101 seats for the NDA and 23-33 seats for the Congress-led alliance. It gave 0-2 seats in AIUDF and three to others.
P-Marq projected 82-94 seats for the BJP-led alliance, 30-40 for the Congress-led alliance and 1-5 for others. The Congress stitched a six-party alliance to take on the ruling BJP-led NDA in Assam.
For Assam Elections, Today's Chanakya predicted 50% ± 3% voter for the NDA, and 38% ± 3% vote share for the Congress.
Today's Chanakya predictions for Assam Election 2026:
Seat Projection
BJP+ 102 ± 9 Seats
Cong+ 23 ± 9 Seats
Others 1 ± 1 Seats
5:30 pm – Assam
5:45 pm – Kerala
6:00 pm – Tamil Nadu
6:30 pm – West Bengal
Today's Chanakya will release the Assam exit polls first, at 5:30 pm.
Axis My India will not release Bengal exit poll numbers. The organisation shared a detailed statement on the same:
Renowned pollster Axis My India will not release its exit poll results for West Bengal this year, the data intelligence agency's chief Pradeep Gupta said on 30 April.
Oops! Looks like you have exceeded the limit to bookmark the image. Remove some to bookmark this image.