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PremiumExit Poll Election Results: The exit poll results on Monday predicted a big majority for the BJP in Gujarat while most of them gave an edge to it in Himachal Pradesh, indicating re-election of the ruling party in both states. However, two exit polls showed a dead heat between the BJP and the Congress in Himachal where results could go either way. The exit polls have also indicated the probable winner for the Municipal Corporation of Delhi (MCD) polls.
Ahead of the counting of votes for the MCD polls, the BJP on Tuesday exuded hope that the tide will turn in its favour even as the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) claimed a "landslide" victory as predicted by exit polls.
The exit polls on Monday showed that the AAP was going to sweep the Municipal Corporation of Delhi (MCD) polls by winning more than 150 of the 250 municipal wards with the BJP emerging a distant second.
Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal on Tuesday congratulated Delhiites after exit polls show a landslide victory for the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) in the MCD election 2022 and called the prediction for Gujarat a 'positive sign' for the party. The exit polls result on Monday predicted a clean sweep for the AAP in the municipal corporation of Delhi. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which has ruled the Delhi civic bodies for a long time, is predicted to emerge as the runner up.
Himachal Pradesh Congress Committee President Sukhvinder Singh Sukhu has exuded confidence in the Congress party that it will win the assembly elections in Himachal Pradesh and said that BJP ideologies are not working.
"Congress party is going to form government in a place which is a Hindu majority state, people have rejected BJP's ideology," Sukhu told ANI.
Jai Ram Thakur on Monday said that though many pollsters have predicted a return of the BJP in the state, the people should wait for the final outcome on December 8.
"Many exit polls are showing that the BJP is forming government again in Himachal while some others are predicting a neck-to-neck fight in a few segments. We should wait till December 8 for the final outcome. According to our analysis, there is a very good possibility of the BJP forming the government with a comfortable majority," Thakur added.
Even after the exit-poll projections for Himachal Pradesh that have predicted a return of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in the state, Congress is still hopeful that the party would form the government with a full majority in the hill state.
"People have voted for the change in state and Congress will form the government. We shall have to see the sample and sample size. Exit polls are sometimes correct but during the last few elections, it has been questioned. We have our internal survey too, we will get over 40 seats," said Naresh Chauhan vice-president of the Congress state unit.
All exit polls predicted a big mandate for the BJP in Gujarat in the range of 117-151 seats in the 182-member assembly, while the Congress was predicted to bag seats in the range of 16-51. The Aam Aadmi Party was projected to bag anything between two and 13 seats. The majority mark in Gujarat is 92.
In Himachal Pradesh, the exit polls projected a range of 24-41 seats for the BJP and 20-40 seats for the Congress. The majority mark is 35 seats.
It's difficult to predict results through exit polls, says AAP Gujarat CM candidate Isudan Gadhvi. He also said, "BJP won't form govt, we'll win over 51 seats in phase 1 while over 52 seats in phase 2. Exit polls will be proved wrong. BJP is declining in the state."
Congress will be forming government with majority in Himachal Pradesh and will move towards a landslide victory on 8 December, says senior Congress party leader Sukhwinder Singh Sukhu. "BJP will gate less than 20 seats. Priyanka Gandhi Vadra's strategy mobilised our cadre. All BJP ministers losing election," he said.
The counting of votes in Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh will take place on 8 December. Elections for the Himachal Pradesh assembly took place on 12 November, while polling in Gujarat happened in two phases on 1 and 5 December.
BJP: 135-145 seats
Congress: 24-34 seats
AAP: 6-16 seats
- Aaj Tak-Axis My India predicted a close contest between the Congress and the BJP in Himachal Pradesh. The exit poll said the BJP would get 24-34 seats and the Congress 30-40 seats.
- As per News X-Jan Ki Baat exit poll on Gujarat elections, the BJP was likely to get 117-140 seats, Congress-NCP 34-51, AAP 6-13 and others 1-2.
- Republic TV's P-MARQ predicted 128-148 seats for the BJP, 30-42 for the Congress-NCP, 2-10 for the AAP and 0-3 for others.
- TV9 Gujarati predicted the BJP to get 125-130 seats, Congress-NCP 40-50, AAP 3-5 and others 3-7.
- India TV said the BJP would bag 35-40 seats, Congress 26-31 and AAP zero.
- News X-Jan Ki Baat survey said the BJP was likely to get 32-40 seats in the hill state, Congress 27-34 and AAP zero.
BJP: 128-140 seats
Congress: 31-43 seats
AAP: 3-11 seats
BJP: 46%
Congress: 26%
AAP: 20%
Others: 8%
The BJP is all set to get 46% vote share, with 129-151 seats in 182-member assembly, predited India Today Axis My India.
A look at what exit polls have predicted:
- P Marq exit polls said that the BJP will win 128 to 148 seats. The Congress and the BJP are likely to trail behind in the seat share, with the former likely to win 30 to 42 seats while the latter may claim victory on two to 10 seats.
- TV9 exit polls also predicted a BJP win, with 125 to 130 seats in Gujarat assembly. The Congress party may win 40 to 50 seats while AAP may claim victory on three to five.
As per Today's Chanakya exit poll results, Himachal will likely see a hung assembly, with the BJP and the Congress getting stuck at 33 seats in the 68-member assembly.
Here's the vote share projection
BJP: 42% ± 3%
Cong: 42% ± 3%
Others: 16% ± 3%
While pollsters have predicted a close fight between the BJP and the Congress in Himachal Pradesh assembly polls, they have also predicted that AAP will fail to make an impact in the hill state.
The exit poll conducted by BARC has predicted that the BJP will win in Himachal Pradesh. A breakdown of the results:
BJP: 35-40 seats
Cong: 20-25 seats
AAP: 0-3 seats
Oth: 1-5 seats
Following the data from the exit polls, Gujarat BJP Chief CR Patil has said that the party will form government with a record number of seats in Gujarat.
According to pollsters, the Aam Aadmi Party is all set to make an impressive debut in the Gujarat assembly polls in terms of vote share. However, it will not convert into seats.
TimesNow-ETG's exit poll
- BJP: 38 | Congress: 28 | AAP: 0 | Others: 2
According to TN, AAP and Cong is at 25% in Gujarat.
Majority of the pollsters have given advantage to the BJP in Himachal Pradesh assembly election, except India Today-Axis My India, which claims Congress will get 30 to 40 seats in 68-member strong assembly.
Himachal Pradesh Chief Minister Jairam Thakur on Monday said there's a complete possibility of BJP comfortably forming the government. However, Thakur added that we should wait for the counting day. “Many of the exit polls are showing BJP forming govt while some show a neck-to-neck fight on a few seats. We should wait till Dec 8. According to our analysis there's complete possibility of BJP comfortably forming the govt," he was quoted as saying by ANI.
The Bharatiya Janata Party is expected to sweep Gujarat, with the Congress party as a distant second, and Arvind Kejriwal-led Aam Aadmi Party will likely finish third, according to an aggregate of exit polls Monday evening.
Zee News Exit Poll 2022
- BJP: 47%
- Congress: 41%
- AAP: 2%
- Others: 10%
According to the News X- Jan Ki Baat, 117 to 140 seats have been predicted for the BJP, 34 to 51 for the Congress, and 6 to 13 seats for the AAP.
India Today Axis My India
AAP: 149-171 wards
BJP: 69-91 seats
CONG: 3-7 seats
Others: 5-9 seats
ETG-TNN
AAP: 146-156 seats
BJP: 84-94 seats
CONG: 6-10 seats
Others:00-04 seats
P-MARQ
- AAP: 0-1 seats
- CONG: 28-33 seats
- BJP: 34-39 seats
TV9
BJP: 125-130 seats
CONG: 40-50 seats
AAP: 3-5 seats
Others: 03-07 seats
P-MARQ
BJP: 128-148 seats
CONG: 30-42 seats
AAP: 2-10 seats
NDTV's poll of polls says BJP will keep Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh.
The BJP is expected to retain Gujarat for a seventh straight term, two exit polls have predicted.
TV9 Gujarati exit poll predicts BJP to win by 125 to 130 in the 182 seat Gujarat assembly.
Vote Share:
BJP: 44.8%
Cong: 42.9%
AAP: 2.8%
BJP- 34-39
Cong- 28-33
AAP 0-1
- Aaj Tak exit poll
AAP 149 to 171 wards
- NDTV's poll of exit polls
Congress 7 seats
- Times Now-ETG exit poll
AAP 146-156 wards
BJP 84-94 seats
Congress 6-10 seats
Others 0-4 seats
NDTV's poll of exit polls says the Congress will win just 7 seats in the Delhi civic body elections (MCD).
According to the Times Now-ETG exit poll, AAP will win 146-156 wards in the Delhi civic body MCD polls. The BJP is expected to win 84-94 seats.
According to Aaj Tak's exit poll, AAP is likely to secure 43% share in the MCD elections, while BJP is expected to get 35% vote share. Meanwhile, Congress is expected to get 10% votes.
The second and final phase of voting in Gujarat concluded today and with this the assembly elections in Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh. All eyes are now on the exit polls.
Approximately 58.68% polling recorded till 5 pm in the second phase of Gujarat Assembly polls, the ECI says.
Polling for the Municipal Corporation of Delhi happened on 4 December. Around 1.45 crore people were eligible to cast their votes and choose from 1,349 candidates. With a voter turnout of a little over 50%, both BJP and AAP have claimed victory in the election to the 250 municipal wards in Delhi. The voter turnout was less compared to the last two elections. The MCD election results will be out on 7 December.
The Himachal Pradesh Assembly elections were held in a single phase on 12 November. People in the state cast their votes to elect 68 members of the Legislative Assembly. The votes will be counted and the results will be out on 8 December.
The first phase of Gujarat Assembly polls was held on 1 December on 89 seats spread across 19 districts in Saurashtra-Kutch and southern parts of the state. The polling for the final phase of Gujarat polls is being held today on 93 seats spread across 14 districts. The electoral fate of CM Bhupendra Patel and 832 other candidates, including 285 Independents, will be decided in the second phase. The counting of the votes will be done on 8 December.
BJP vs Congress vs AAP: Who will be the winner of the election battle in Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh? Who is going to take control of the Municipal Corporation of Delhi? All eyes are now on the exit polls.
The actual results of the Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh assembly elections will be declared on 8 December. The results for the MCD polls in Delhi will be out a day earlier on 7 December.
Total assembly seats: 68
BJP won 44 seats in 2017
Congress just 21
The Gujarat Assembly has a total of 182 seats.
BJP: 99 seats
Congress: 77 seats
Others: 6 seats
Gujarat: Back in 2017, exit polls predicted BJP's winning in the state. The poll results predicted 112-116 seats for the BJP. It was a little more than the number of seats that BJP actually won. In 2017, the BJP won 48 out of 89 seats in the first phase of polling and bagged 51 in the second phase, taking its total tally to 99 out of 182 seats. Meanwhile, the Congress won 77 seats while it was predicted to win 65 seats by the average of the exit polls in 2017.
Himachal Pradesh: Multiple exit polls had predicted an easy win for the BJP in Himachal Pradesh, which was then ruled by the Congress. BJP was predicted to win 47 seats while the exit polls gave an average of 22 seats to the Congress. BJP won 44 seats in Himachal Pradesh in 2017.
