Tamil Nadu Exit Poll: Actor Vijay’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam to win 98 to 120 in electoral debut, projects Axis My India

Actor-turned-politician Vijay's Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam could win 10-12 seats in the Tamil Nadu assembly elections 2026, according to exit polls. People’s Pulse and Matrize both project similar outcomes for TVK in the 234-seat assembly.

Bobins Vayalil Abraham
Updated29 Apr 2026, 07:24 PM IST
TVK chief Vijay campaigns ahead of the Tamil Nadu Assembly elections.
TVK chief Vijay campaigns ahead of the Tamil Nadu Assembly elections. (@TVKHQITWingOffl)

Tamil Nadu could see a political earthquake if the exit poll figures of Axis My India are to go by. Actor-turned-politician Vijay’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK), which is making its electoral politics debut in the Tamil Nadu assembly elections 2026, could win up to 120 seats, the Axis My India exit poll has shown.

According to the exit poll figures, TVK is on track to become the single-largest party in Tamil Nadu, winning 98-120 seats. The ruling DMK is projected to win 92-110 seats and the 234-member house. The NDA which comprises AIADMK and BJP is in for a rout, winning only 22-33 seats between them.


Axis My India projects the debutant political party to garner 35 per cent of the votes, at par with the DMK.

According to Axis My India, Vijay is ahead of Chief Minister MK Stalin in terms of choice for the next Chief Minister. While Stalin was supported by 35 per cent of those surveyed, the support was 37 per cent for Vijay.

Also Read | Trichy East, Perambur: Why Vijay picked these two seats for his TN poll debut

While Axis My India ha given a clear edge to TVK, according to other exit poll results announced on Wednesday, TVK could win anywhere between 0-26 seats. People’s Pulse has projected TVK to win 18-24 seats. Matrize exit poll, on the other hand, gives TVK 10-12 seats in the 234 seat Tami Nadu assembly.

According to the exit poll figures of P-Marq TVK is on track to win 16-26 seats in the Tamil Nadu assembly elections.

Meanwhile, TVK is being projected to win merely 2-6 assembly seats in Tamil Nadu as per People Pulse.

JVC’s exit poll is giving Vijay’s party 8-15 seats.

According to the figures by Kamakhya Analytics TVK could win 67-81 seats.

Also Read | Tamil Nadu Exit Poll LIVE: Two big pollsters predict MK Stalin's return to TN

The elections to 234 constituencies were held on April 23 with a record turnout of over 85 per cent. The TVK had contested in all 234 seats with party chief Vijay contesting from two seats, Perambur (Chennai) and Tiruchi East (Tiruchirappalli East).

TVK spokesperson Radhan Pandit claimed that Vijay will become the Chief Minister.

"We are just ignoring these exit polls. I am sure we are going to sweep this election by above 170 or above 140. We studied very well. We had our personal survey. We are sure about a minimum 45% of vote-banking. It's not between 20-25 per cent... 108 hours to go for the election counting... 109th hour, we are going to take the oath. Our Vijay will become the Chief Minister extraordinarily...," Pandit told ANI.

About the Author

Bobins loves telling the human side of all stories, from the intersection of geopolitics, international relations, and conflicts around the world. In his nearly one-and-a-half-decade career as a journalist, Bobins has covered South Asia, the Middle East, and North America, from elections to mass protests and conflicts. <br> Bobins has also done extensive reporting on environmental issues, climate change, and sustainability, focusing on solutions and people working to make the planet a better place to live. <br> In 2018, Bobins was awarded by Times Internet for the impact of his story on Delhi tree cuttings. Bobins also loves telling the stories of Indian startups and the journey of their founders. <br> Total Years of Experience: 14 <br> Years of experience at LM: Bobins has been a part of Live Mint since February 2026 <br> Interests: When he is not tracking conflicts, Bobins loves to cook, travel across India, click photos, and watch documentaries on history. Past Experience: Before joining Live Mint, Bobins worked with The Indian Express, where he led the Global Breaking News coverage, Indiatimes, where he led the news team, covering everything trending, ANI, where the focus of his coverage was South Asia, and NBS News. <br> Current Role: Bobins is currently working as an Assistant Editor at Live Mint.

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