West Bengal Exit Poll results 2026 LIVE: Can BJP dislodge Mamata's TMC? What pollsters say

West Bengal Exit Poll 2026 LIVE Updates: So far, pollsters have projected mixed outcomes for the Bengal Assembly elections. While, P Marq has projected 150-175 seats for BJP, Peoples Pulse has projected 177-187 seats for TMC. Who will win the battle of Bengal - Didi or Modi? Stay tuned

Gulam JeelaniBobins Vayalil Abraham
Updated1 May 2026, 01:02:56 AM IST
West Bengal Exit Poll results 2026 LIVE: Matrize projects 146-161 seats for BJP, 120-140 for TMC
West Bengal Exit Poll results 2026 LIVE: Matrize projects 146-161 seats for BJP, 120-140 for TMC

West Bengal Exit Poll results 2026 LIVE Updates: Exit poll results that are out so far have projected mixed outcomes for the West Bengal assembly elections. Four of the six pollsters are giving a narrow win to the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), and two are projecting a sweep for the ruling Trinamool Congress (TMC). 148 is the magic figure mark in the 294-member Bengal Assembly.

Peoples Pulse; Matrize; P-Marq, Janmat Polls, Poll Diary and Praja Poll have released their numbers so far. Matrize and P-Marq have given an edge to BJP while Janmat Polls and Peoples Pulse have projected a clean sweep for TMC.

Matrize has given an edge to BJP with 146-161 seats and predicted a second spot for the ruling TMC with 120-140 seats.

Peoples Pulse has, however, projected that TMC will win the Bengal elections. It indicated a clean sweep for the ruling TMC in West Bengal assembly elections with 177-187 seats. The pollster has projected 95-110 seats for the BJP.

P Marq has projected 150-175 seats for BJP and 118-138 seats for the TMC in Bengal.

Janmat Poll has predicted 195 to 205 seats for TMC and 80-90 seats for BJP in Bengal.

Poll diary has predicted a victory for BJP with 142 to 171 seats. The pollsters has projected 99-127 seats for the TMC in Bengal.

Praja poll has projected 85-110 for TMC and 178-208 for the BJP

The voting for second and last phase of polling held across 142 seats has ended. The first phase of voting on 23 April was held for 152 seats. With this the present election cycle is over.

Apart from West Bengal, Assembly elections were held in Assam, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Kerala. Exit poll results can be published only after polling ends, with the Election Commission’s embargo running till 6:30 PM today.

The 2026 contest has been shaped by a high-voltage fight between the Trinamool Congress led by Mamata Banerjee and the BJP, with the Congress-Left alliance seeking pockets of revival. Campaign themes revolved around women voters, Bengali asmita, the Matua vote and largescale voter deletions during Special Intensive Revision of the Election Commission.

Phase 1 turnout crossed 93% with many attributing the increased per centage to deletions from absolute voting population of West Bengal during SIR.

Exit polls were also be released for Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Kerala and Assam which voted in this election cycle.

What happened in 2021 exit polls?

The contest in West Bengal is considered bipolar between the ruling TMC and a resurgent BJP.

In 2021, exit polls predicted a close fight between the TMC and the BJP in Bengal. The poll of polls predicted that Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's Trinamool Congress party would win 156 of the state's 292 seats that went to polls and that the BJP would score a strong 121 seats.

But eventually, the Mamata Banerjee-led TMC won the election with a landslide, winning 215 seats out of the 292 polled. The BJP won 77 seats, emerging as the principal opposition party in the West Bengal assembly for the first time.

As exit poll numbers begin to come in, this live blog will track seat projections, vote-share estimates, region-wise movement, whether TMC is holding its edge or BJP is making gains, and what the trends may mean ahead of counting day.

Remember, exit polls have not been accurate in the past. The actual results will be known on 4 May.

Follow West Bengal Election 2026 LIVE updates here

Follow updates here:
1 May 2026, 01:02:56 AM IST

“Counting will be 100% neat and clean” - CEC rejects EVM tampering claims

WB CEC Manoj Kumar Agarwal denied allegations that CCTV cameras at the Bhabanipur strong room were turned off.

He said live CCTV footage from all eight strong rooms — seven for EVMs and one for postal ballots — is being continuously telecast.

Political party representatives are allowed to monitor the footage from beyond the three-layer security arrangement.

Agarwal said movement seen around 4 pm was linked to officials opening the postal ballot strong room “as per rules.”

According to him, all political parties and candidates were informed in advance by the Returning Officer about the postal ballot room procedure.

He said three candidates visited the site after 4 pm and verified that EVM strong rooms remained sealed while only the postal ballot room was opened.

The three candidates reportedly left after inspecting the arrangements.

Shashi Panja and Kunal Ghosh staged a dharna alleging possible tampering with EVMs.

Agarwal asserted there would be “no law and order situation” during counting.

He said the counting process would be “100% neat and clean just like the elections were.”

1 May 2026, 12:55:46 AM IST

West Bengal Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE | CEC on possible repolling says 77 booth complaints under review

Manoj Kumar Agarwal, State Chief Electoral Officer, says complaints have been received from 77 polling booths.

Election officials found prima facie merit in complaints related to 23 booths.

Detailed scrutiny of the complaints is still underway.

Final decision on possible repolling has not yet been taken.

State Observer’s report is expected by morning.

Manoj Kumar Agarwal says authorities can comment definitively only after reviewing the observer’s findings.

1 May 2026, 12:53:03 AM IST

West Bengal Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE | WB CEC says CCTV footage contradicts assault allegations in Howrah polling booth death

On TMC claiming elderly man died after assault by central forces in Howrah, State Chief Electoral Officer Manoj Kumar Agarwal says, "This was an 82-year-old man who had come to vote along with his son. He was unwell, but he still insisted on going to the booth to vote. He entered the booth and walked to the EVM. When he came out after voting, he collapsed. No paramilitary force remains present inside the booth. There is CCTV footage and a statement of the Presiding Officer and everyone else."

1 May 2026, 12:50:18 AM IST

West Bengal Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE | Mamata Banerjee says “if someone tries to steal the EVM machine, we will fight life and death together”

Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee says, "There is a strong room here for EVMs. We found that in many places, manipulation is taking place. When I saw the CCTV on TV, I thought I should also go and see it. Initially, the Central Forces wouldn't let me enter. But according to our election rules, the candidate and election agent of any party are allowed up to the sealed room. Our agent has been arrested; there has been so much one-sidedness. Even after that, if someone tries to steal the EVM machine, if someone tries to steal the counting, then we will fight life and death together."

1 May 2026, 12:02:43 AM IST

West Bengal Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE | BJP's Tapas Roy rejects ballot box tampering claims

BJP candidate Tapas Roy rejects allegations of opening of ballot boxes in strongroom. He says, "This is just a rumour, nothing else. This cannot be done. They are making such claims because they are going to lose, that is why they are spreading rumours. There are three layer security arrangements in place, as far as I know, and this is nothing new. They can stay there and watch from a certain distance; everything is allowed by the Election Commission. But the way they are spreading rumours is not correct."

30 Apr 2026, 10:40:24 PM IST

West Bengal Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE | West Bengal CEO Manoj Kumar Agarwal holds news conference

30 Apr 2026, 10:18:43 PM IST

West Bengal Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE | Calcutta HC declines interim relief in a plea claiming only central govt employees were appointed as counting supervisors

The Calcutta High Court declines interim relief in a plea by the Trinamool Congress claiming that state government employees were being excluded from being appointed as counting supervisors. The HC says that the TMC can consider an election petition if any material is established at a later stage.

30 Apr 2026, 08:53:06 PM IST

West Bengal Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE | Mamata Banerjee heading to Netaji Indoor Stadium

West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee is reportedly heading to Netaji Indoor Stadium, where TMC leaders allege attempts are being made to open ballot boxes before the counting of votes on May 4.

30 Apr 2026, 08:49:21 PM IST

West Bengal Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE | TMC stages dharna in front of strong room, alleging attempted unauthorized access

TMC leaders Shashi Panja and Kunal Ghosh sat on a dharna in front of the strong room, outside Netaji Indoor Stadium. They alleged that attempts are being made by BJP and ECI officials to open boxes without the presence of relevant party representatives.

“You can watch in the livestreaming and CCTV camera of Election Commission that a few people are working inside. None of our representatives is inside...They are not letting us in. They are asking us to speak with other candidates. Why should we take responsibility of other candidates?” Kunal Ghosh says.

“We are concerned. There should be no manipulation. Why are we not being shown all of that?," Shashi Panja says.

30 Apr 2026, 08:45:37 PM IST

West Bengal Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE | Mamata frustrated because her goons were not able to have a free hand this time, says Jadavpur CPIM candidate.

Bikash Ranjan Bhattacharya, CPI(M) candidate for the Jadavpur Assembly constituency, has said that Mamata Banerjee’s frustration is obvious because her goons were not able to have a free hand this time.

“Since 2011 onwards, till today, the elections have been controlled by TMC goons. After 11 a.m., all the booths were taken over by them, these goons, and they used to control. Now this time they failed and that's the frustration and fear of Mamata...This time, the Police had discharged their basic obligation and probably they got the courage since the central force was over there. I didn't find that the central force acted in any objectionable manner," he said.

30 Apr 2026, 08:22:20 PM IST

West Bengal Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE | EC compromised, will continue efforts till CEC removed, says Jairam Ramesh

Congress leader Jairam Ramesh has alleged that the Election Commission has never been "more compromised" than it is under CEC Gyanesh Kumar, who, he claimed, acted as a player in the just-concluded state assembly polls.

Ramesh asserted on Thursday that the Opposition would continue its efforts to get Kumar removed from the post of CEC (Chief Election Commissioner).

The Congress leader alleged that the right to vote was under threat in the country and it was time to make it a fundamental right for citizens instead of a constitutional right. The remark came against the backdrop of the SIR (Special Intensive Revision) of electoral rolls whereby lakhs of names were struck off the rolls in several states.

30 Apr 2026, 08:19:31 PM IST

West Bengal Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE | 3-layer security in place, says WB CEO ahead of vote counting

West Bengal Chief Electoral Officer Manoj Kumar Agarwal on Thursday said that a three-layer security has been put in place as the state gears up for the final preparations ahead of the counting of votes scheduled to take place on May 4.

He also ruled out repolling in Nadia, Kolkata North and Kolkata South, a day after political parties witnessed tensions and incidents of clashes on the second and final day of polling in West Bengal.

"Everything is complete in Nadia, Purba Bardhaman, Kolkata North and Kolkata South. No repolling is scheduled here. Partial work was complete, by the time I received report, in Howrah, North 24 Parganas, South 24 Parganas and other districts. But there was no issue of repolling there...Maybe at this point in time, 80-90% of the work is complete. I am speaking to you based on the reports received at 3-3.30 pm," Agarwal said.

30 Apr 2026, 06:37:36 PM IST

West Bengal Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE | Today's Chanakya predicts BJP to win 192 seats in West Bengal

30 Apr 2026, 05:59:17 PM IST

West Bengal Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE | Election Commission to introduce QR-based IDs at counting centres

30 Apr 2026, 05:46:52 PM IST

West Bengal Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE | Exit polls aimed at demoralising TMC workers, will win 226+ seats in Bengal, says Mamata

West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee released a video message on Thursday after exit poll results suggested a possible BJP victory in the state. In her video, Mamata suggested that the exit polls were released with the intention of demoralizing TMC workers. She also expressed confidence about retaining power in West Bengal, winning more than 226 seats.

30 Apr 2026, 05:39:52 PM IST

West Bengal Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE | Today's Chanakya to release West Bengal exit poll results at 6:30

Polling agency Today's Chanakya will release its exit poll results for the state of West Bengal at 6:30 pm on Thursday.

30 Apr 2026, 04:46:36 PM IST

West Bengal Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE | ‘Shamelessly blames people of Bengal’ TMC MP hits out at Axis My India for not releasing exit poll

TMC MP Saket Gokhale has hit out at Axis My India and its founder, Pradeep Gupta, after the poll agency announced that it will not release the exit poll for West Bengal, citing reliability concerns.

30 Apr 2026, 04:35:56 PM IST

West Bengal Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE | What did Today's Chanakya’s exit poll for West Bengal predict in 2021?

While Today's Chanakya’s exit poll correctly predicted a TMC win, the Mamata Banerjee-led party defied all predictions to win 213 of 292 seats.

30 Apr 2026, 04:30:45 PM IST

West Bengal Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE | Axis My India to not release West Bengal exit poll

Pradeep Gupta, the founder of Axis My India, has said that his agency will not release exit poll data for West Bengal as it has not obtained a sufficiently representative sample.

"See, the method of Axis My India is talking to people face to face. And when we tried to talk after the first phase, about 60-70 per cent of the people had their lips sealed. They were not even ready to say yes or no," Gupta told NDTV.

"No one is ready to talk to anyone in the context of elections. So, as long as our sample is not representative, on the basis of a 20-30 per cent sample, we do not believe it is right to predict any number. For that, we will try once again Thursday. Maybe now that the elections have been held, people will be more relaxed," he added.

30 Apr 2026, 03:53:32 PM IST

West Bengal Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE | Hearing concludes in plea against deployment of only central govt officers as counting officers

Hearing of the plea in the Calcutta High Court challenging the ECI decision to deploy only employees of the Central government and PSUs as counting supervisors has concluded.

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