Kerala Exit Poll Results highlight: Congress to end Pinarayi's 10-year rule; Axis My India predicts 78-90 seats for UDF

In Assam, exit polls predicted that the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance is poised to retain power for a third successive term.

Axis My India projected a comfortable majority for UDF and said it is poised to win 78 to 90 seats in the 140-member assembly. It said the Left Democratic Front would win 49 to 62 seats and the BJP-led NDA zero to three seats.

Axis My India predicted a sweep for the BJP in Assam, forecasting 88-100 seats for the BJP and its allies and 24-36 seats for the Congress and its partners.

Senior Congress leader Bindu Krishna has declared that the "pulse of the people" is firmly with the United Democratic Front (UDF) after exit polls suggested a significant shift in Keralam's political landscape.

Speaking to ANI, Krishna expressed unwavering confidence that the opposition alliance is set to reclaim power, citing widespread public disillusionment with the current administration.

Krishna asserted that the exit poll data reflects a deep-seated desire for change across the state. She labelled the Pinarayi Vijayan-led LDF government as the "most unpopular government Kerala has ever seen."

"The exit poll results are showing that UDF will come into power, and it is the pulse of the people of Kerala...The LDF government is the most unpopular government Kerala has ever seen. Most of the social welfare schemes are disrupted...The people disappointed with the LDF voted for the UDF...The public of the state eagerly wants good governance, and they find UDF as their choice. Definitely, UDF will win", she said.

Axis My India:

NDA: 88-100 seats

Congress: 24-36

People's Pulse

BJP+: 68-72

Cong: 22-26

Oth: 7-15

MATRIZE

NDA: 85-95

Congress- 25-32

Other: 6-12

Janmat exit polls predicted 76 seats for the BJP and 30 seats for Congres in Assam.

Accoridng to Manorama News C-Voter, the UDF dominates Malabar, Kochi; LDF holds onto Palakkad & Thrissur.

The Left Democratic Front (LDF) is projected to retain its dominance in Kannur district, Manorama News C-Voter exit polls predicted on Wednesday.

Former Kerala Health Minister KK Shailaja is likely to lose in Peravoor, it said.

The Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) is likely to return to power in Kerala, with almost all exit polls giving an edge to the UDF in the 2026 assembly polls. Axis My India predicted 78-90 seats for the UDF and 49-62 seats for the LDF. Meanwhile, MATRIZE said UDF may win 70-75 seats, beating the LDF in a closely fought election.

LDF - 55-65

UDF - 75-85

NDA - 0-3

Others -

Matrize

LDF - 60-65

UDF - 70-75

NDA - 3-5

Others - 2-4

Axis My India

LDF - 49-62

UDF - 78-90

NDA - 0-3

Others 0

MATRIZE

LDF-60- 65

UDF- 70-75

BJP- 3-5

OTH- 0

P-Marq

LDF- 62-89

UDF- 71-79

BJP- 1-4

OTH- 0-3

MATRIZE exit poll prediction:

◆ LDF-60- 65

◆ UDF- 75-85

◆ BJP- 3-5

◆ OTH- 0

Axis My India predicts:

LDF - 49-62 seats

UDF - 78-90 seats

NDA - 0-3 seats

Others: 0 seats

Like Axis My India and NDTV exit polls, Pulse exit poll also gave an edge to the Congress-led UDF in Kerala:

LDF - 55-65 seats

UDF - 75-85 seats

NDA - 0-3 seats

78-90 of the total 140 seats for the Congress-led UDF are predicted by Axis My India, according to India Today. The Left is Likely to take a huge hit.

NDTV Exit Poll predicted the Congress' victory in Kerala Elections 2026.

Axis My India exit poll showed 48 percent favouring Himanta Biswa Sarma as the top CM choice and only 33% favoured Gaurav Gogoi. This made Himanta the top choice for the CM in the states, as per the survey.

Himanta Biswa Sarma to retain power in Assam? BJP-led NDA is likley to sweep Assa Elections, Axis My India projected.

Today's Chanakya announced that it will release exit polls for all five states and UT tomorrow, April 30. Check schedule below:

5:30 pm – Assam

5:45 pm – Kerala

6:00 pm – Tamil Nadu

6:30 pm – West Bengal

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The UDF and the LDF in Kerala politics are the two major coalitions. The UDF [United Democratic Front] is a center-right alliance led by the Congress. The LDF [Left Democratic Front] is a left-wing alliance led by the Communist Party of India (Marxist) [CPI(M).

LDF: CPI(M), Communist Party of India (CPI), Kerala Congress (M), Nationalist Congress Party (Sharadchandra Pawar), Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), Indian National League (INL), and Congress (Secular).

UDF: Congress, Indian Union Muslim League (IUML), Kerala Congress, Revolutionary Socialist Party (RSP), Kerala Congress (Jacob), and the Revolutionary Marxist Party of India (RMPI).