Lok Sabha Election Results 2024: No 400-paar for BJP; which exit poll got closest so far?
- Lok Sabha Election Results 2024: On June 1, several exit polls had predicted a clear majority for the Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance, paving the way for Prime Minister Narendra Modi to form the government for a third straight term.
Lok Sabha Election Results 2024: Vote counting is underway after the six-week general elections, which took place in seven phases between April 19 and June 1. The Lok Sabha elections were held for 543 seats. A political party/alliance needs 272 of these seats to form a government at the Centre. Early tallies reported by the Election Commission show Prime Minister Narendra Modi-led Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) comfortably ahead.
On June 1, several exit polls had predicted a clear majority for the BJP- led National Democratic Alliance (NDA), paving the way for PM Modi to form the government for a third straight term. While PM Modi was set for a ‘historic’ third term, most Exit Polls seemed to have gtten their numbers horribly wrong.
A recap of what exit polls predicted in BJP vs INDIA
Most exit polls predicted a massive victory for PM Modi's BJP. Most post-poll surveys forecast 350-370 seats for the NDA and 107-140 seats for the Opposition's INDIA bloc.
Will the NDA achieve its target of winning a record 400 seats in the 2024 Lok Sabha polls?
Axis My India Exit poll
Axis My India predicted that the NDA might be able to achieve their goal of ‘400 paar’, creating a record for the number of seats won by an alliance in the Lok Sabha ever.
Axis My India exit poll predicted 322-340 seats for the BJP – up from 303 seats it won in the 2019 Lok Sabha Elections – and 39-61 seats for its allies.
It suggested 60-76 seats for the Congress – up from 52 seats in 2019 – and 71-90 seats for its INDIA bloc allies.
Today's Chanakya
Today's Chanakya also predicted that NDA would win 400 seats.
India TV-CNX
India TV-CNX was one among the three exit polls that said the NDA could achieve its target of winning a record 400 seats in the 2024 Lok Sabha polls.
News18 Mega Exit poll
The News18 mega exit poll had predicted 370 seats for the NDA, and 140 seats for the INDIA bloc.
| Exit Polls | NDA | INDIA | Others |
| India Today-Axis My India | 361-401 | 131-166 | 8-20 |
| Republic TV-Matrize | 353-368 | 118-133 | 43-48 |
| Republic Bharat-P Marq | 359 | 154 | 30 |
| Jan Ki Baat | 377 | 151 | 10-20 |
| India News-D-Dynamics | 371 | 125 | 30 |
| News Nation | 342-378 | 153-169 | 21-23 |
| India TV-CNX | 371-401 | 109-139 | 28-38 |
| News18 Mega Exit Poll | 355-370 | 125-140 seats | |
| News 24-Today's Chanakya | 400 ± 15 Seats | 107 ± 11 Seats |
Lok Sabha elections result 20245: Latest Trend
According to the EC update, after the early trends, BJP is leading in 237 seats, having won one seat- Surat. The Congress is leading in 97 seats.
| Party | Won | Leading | Total |
| Bharatiya Janata Party - BJP | 1 | 237 | 238 |
| Indian National Congress - INC | 0 | 97 | 97 |
| Samajwadi Party - SP | 0 | 34 | 34 |
| All India Trinamool Congress - AITC | 0 | 29 | 29 |
| Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam - DMK | 0 | 21 | 21 |
| Telugu Desam - TDP | 0 | 16 | 16 |
| Janata Dal (United) - JD(U) | 0 | 14 | 14 |
| Shiv Sena (Uddhav Balasaheb Thackrey) - SHSUBT | 0 | 10 | 10 |
| Nationalist Congress Party – Sharadchandra Pawar - NCPSP | 0 | 8 | 8 |
| Shiv Sena - SHS | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| Rashtriya Janata Dal - RJD | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Lok Janshakti Party(Ram Vilas) - LJPRV | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Communist Party of India (Marxist) - CPI(M) | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Yuvajana Sramika Rythu Congress Party - YSRCP | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Janata Dal (Secular) - JD(S) | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Indian Union Muslim League - IUML | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Biju Janata Dal - BJD | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Aam Aadmi Party - AAAP | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Janasena Party - JnP | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Communist Party of India (Marxist-Leninist) (Liberation) - CPI(ML)(L) | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Viduthalai Chiruthaigal Katchi - VCK | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Communist Party of India - CPI | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Rashtriya Lok Dal - RLD | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Jharkhand Mukti Morcha - JMM | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Jammu & Kashmir National Conference - JKN | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| United People’s Party, Liberal - UPPL | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Asom Gana Parishad - AGP | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Hindustani Awam Morcha (Secular) - HAMS | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Kerala Congress - KEC | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Revolutionary Socialist Party - RSP | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Nationalist Congress Party - NCP | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Naga Peoples Front - NPF | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Voice of the People Party - VOTPP | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Zoram People’s Movement - ZPM | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Shiromani Akali Dal - SAD | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Rashtriya Loktantrik Party - RLTP | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Bharat Adivasi Party - BHRTADVSIP | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sikkim Krantikari Morcha - SKM | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Pattali Makkal Katchi - PMK | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Marumalarchi Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam - MDMK | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam - DMDK | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Aazad Samaj Party (Kanshi Ram) - ASPKR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| AJSU Party - AJSUP | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| All India Majlis-E-Ittehadul Muslimeen - AIMIM | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Independent - IND | 0 | 6 | 6 |
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