Prime Minister Narendra Modi is set to retain power with most exit polls forecasting a majority for his Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). The BJP is set for a second term at the Centre, riding on a clean sweep of the Hindi heartland yet again and significant gains in West Bengal and Odisha.

An India Today-Axis poll sees the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance romping home with as many as 365 seats in the 543-member Lok Sabha. Its base figure for the combine is 339 seats.

Today’s Chanakya, whose numbers are amongst the most sought after, has given BJP alone 286-314 seats while the Congress is likely to end up with 46-64.

A News18-IPSOS poll sees the NDA securing a second term with 336 seats while a Time Now-VMR poll expects 306 seats for the ruling combine.

News X TV put out the most conservative numbers for the right wing party, predicting the tally of its NDA combine to come at 242 against United Progressive Alliance’s (UPA) 164.

Numbers derived by Republic TV-C Voter pegged the NDA tally at 287 seats against UPA’s 128.

The India Today-Axis poll sees the BJP getting 62-68 seats in Uttar Pradesh, electorally the most crucial state with its 80 seats in the Lok Sabha. Similarly, the News18-IPSOS poll gave the BJP 60-62 seats in the north Indian state.

The biggest gains for the saffron party are seen coming from West Bengal and Odisha. The India Today poll expects the BJP to get as many as 19-23 seats in the state which sends 42 legislators to the Lok Sabha.

In the 21-member Odisha, BJP is expected to get 15-19 seats with the remaining going to the Naveen Patnaik-led Biju Janata Dal, according to the India Today poll.

Another big gain could come from Bihar where the India Today poll predicts a clean sweep for the BJP-Janata Dal (United) alliance at 38-40 seats. The BJP juggernaut is expected to roll on in Gujarat, Maharashtra, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Haryana, Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand as well.

The counting of votes will happen on Thursday and the initial trends should be available by 9AM.

The bitterly-fought seven-phase exercise, stretching over 39 days, ended today.

In a major shift of stance from 2014 when Modi rode to power on his ‘sabka saath, sabka vikas’ agenda, he this time sought another term on the basis of strong and clean governance, rooting out corruption, providing social welfare schemes directly to the beneficiaries and muscular nationalism.

The opposition ran its campaign accusing the government of polarising the country on communal lines, the highly unpopular demonetization that led to job losses, hurting small traders, ignoring the farmers while catering to industrialists and mismanaging the economy.

Following are the numbers put out by various TV channels and research agencies for the 543-member 17th Lok Sabha:


Today’s Chanakya 336-364 86-104

Indi a Today-Axis 339-365 77-108

News18-IPSOS 336 82

News Nation 286 122

Times Now-VMR 306 132

Republic-CVoter 287 128

NewsX 242 164

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