Tamil Nadu Exit Poll Results 2026 highlight: Four pollsters predict DMK comeback for 2nd term, one disagrees

BJP leader Tamilisai Soundararajan reacted cautiously to the exit poll predictions, saying such surveys cannot fully capture the true mindset of voters and should not be taken as definitive. She emphasised that the BJP and its allies would wait for the actual results, adding that only the people’s mandate on counting day will present the real picture.

Meanwhile, the AIADMK struck a confident tone, expressing optimism about returning to power in Tamil Nadu. Party leaders said their internal assessments and booth-level feedback indicate a favourable outcome despite mixed projections across exit polls. The party also pointed to the role of TVK, suggesting its presence may have impacted vote shares in the state.

With exit polls offering divergent trends and no clear consensus, political reactions remain measured as parties await the final verdict on counting day.

Tamil Nadu Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE: BJP leader Vinoj P Selvam reacted to the exit poll predictions and said, “Exit polls can be taken but exit polls can never be able to 100 pc predict the real mindset of the common man. Today the common man has spoken.”

Meanwhile, AIADMK has said that TVK has cut down votes to AIADMK.

Tamil Nadu Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE: Across multiple pollsters, the combined average projection for DMK is roughly 126 seats; the combined average projection for AIADMK is roughly 66 seats and that of TVK is roughly 39 seats.

Tamil Nadu Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE: Axis My India projects a highly competitive contest, giving Vijay’s TVK an edge with 98 to 120 seats, potentially placing it in a strong position to form the government. The DMK+ alliance is estimated to secure between 92 and 110 seats, indicating a close fight, while the AIADMK is projected to lag behind with 22 to 32 seats.

Tamil Nadu, Puducherry Exit Poll Result LIVE: The results to the Assembly elections in Tamil Nadu and Puducherry will be declared on May 4. The Election Commission will start counting of the votes from 8 am.

Tamil Nadu, Puducherry Exit Poll Result LIVE: In their projections via exit polls, the pollsters on Wednesday projected the All India NR Congress-led (AINRC) Nationalist Democratic Alliance (NDA) winning Puducherry in the 2026 Assembly elections.

The exit poll by People Pulse has projected 16-19 Assembly seats in the NDA's corner, while placing Congress and allies with 10 to 12 seats of the total 30 Assembly seats in the Union Territory.

According to exit poll projections by Axis My India, the NDA is winning the Puducherry Assembly polls with 16-20 seats, while Congress and allies are projected to win six to eight seats.

In Puducherry, the contest involved the NDA, which includes the AINRC, the BJP and the Congress-DMK alliance. Actor Vijay's TVK had also sought to make it triangular.

Tamil Nadu, Puducherry Exit Poll Result LIVE: Actor Vijay's TVK is likely to pull a big surprise in Tamil Nadu's 234-member Assembly. Several pollsters have predicted nearly 20 seats for actor Vijay's party. Here is how TVK may fare according to pollsters:

People's Insight: 30-40
P-Marq: 16-26
Matrize: 10-12
People's Pulse: 18-24

Tamil Nadu, Puducherry Exit Poll Result LIVE: People Insight has also predicted a DMK comeback in the Tamil Nadu polls. According to the pollster, DMK is likely to win somewhere between 120-140 seats, AIADMK is likely to bag 60-70 seats, while the debutant TVK may bag 30-40 seats. This is how it looks for People Insight:

DMK+ 120-140

AIADMK+ 60-70

TVK+ 30-40

Tamil Nadu Exit Poll Result LIVE: Three pollsters are predicting a massive comeback for the DMK, while one disagrees. Here's how the predictions look for Tamil Nadu right now:

Matrize

DMK: 122-132

AIADMK: 87-100

TVK: 10-12

People's Pulse

DMK: 125 -145

AIADMK: 65-80

TVK: 18-24

P-Marq

DMK: 125-145

AIADMK: 65-85

TVK: 16-26

JVC

DMK: 75-95

AIADMK: 128-147

TVK: 8-15

(These also include the alliance parties)

Tamil Nadu, Puducherry Exit Poll Result LIVE: P-Marq exit poll has also predicted a big return for the DMK in Tamil Nadu elections. These are what the P-Marq predicts for DMK, AIADMK and TVK

DMK+: 125-145

AIADMK+: 65-85

TVK+: 16-26

OTH: 1-6

Tamil Nadu, Puducherry Exit Poll Result LIVE: In Puducherry, NRC+ is predicted to lead the Union Territory by winning 16-20 seats, according to the Axis My India pollster. The majority mark is 16. The Congress+ are predicted to win 6-8 seats, the pollster predicted.

Puducherry Exit Poll Results LIVE: Two-time chief minister and All India N. R. Congress leader N Rangaswamy is the top choice to lead Puducherry, according to Axis My India pollster. Check how other options fared:

Tamil Nadu, Puducherry Exit Poll Results LIVE: Another pollster, Matrize, has predicted DMK's return to Tamil Nadu. Matrize has predicted a DMK swipe, with 122-132 seats in their bag.

DMK-INC+ 122-132

NDA 87-100

TVK 10-12

OTHERS 0-6

Tamil Nadu, Puducherry Exit Poll Results LIVE: In its debut, actor Vijay's TVK is expected to win somewhere between 18-24 seats in Tamil Nadu, predicted People's Pulse.

Tamil Nadu, Puducherry Exit Poll Results LIVE: In 2021, several pollsters had rightly predicted that the DMK was coming to power in the state. So far for this year, only People's Pulse has predicted a DMK return in Tamil Nadu.

Tamil Nadu, Puducherry Exit Poll Results LIVE: This is how the May 4 will look like in the state

DMK 125 -145

AIADMK 65-80

TVK 18-24

Others 2-6

Tamil Nadu, Puducherry Exit Poll Results LIVE: In Tamil Nadu, MK Stalin's Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) is likely to make a comeback, according to People's Pulse predictions.

According to People’s Pulse, DMK is likely to win 125-145 seats, AIADMK may be wrapped up in 65-80 seats and Vijay's TVK may secure 18-24 seats.

Puducherry Exit Poll Results LIVE: In Puducherry, Axis My India has predicted a tilt towards NDA parties.

Tamil Nadu, Puducherry Exit Poll Results LIVE: Historically, Tamil Nadu has seen power switching between AIADMK and DMK. It is yet to be seen if the power goes back to AIADMK for the next five years.

Tamil Nadu, Puducherry Exit Poll Results LIVE: The 20-day wait is finally over. It is almost 6:30 pm and the predictions for Tamil Nadu and Puducherry exit poll results shall be out soon.