Long-term treasuries could be a good contrarian bet

Andrew Bary, Barrons
4 min read30 Sep 2026, 03:00 PM IST
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The seal of the US Treasury Department is seen (AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)
Summary
Bonds that mature in 20 to 30 years could offer competitive returns if equity market returns cool.

An intriguing contrarian play is long-term bonds maturing in 20 to 30 years.

There are few fans of the sector, and the negatives are many. They include intractable federal budget deficits, inflation around 3%, and heavy corporate borrowing for data centers to fuel the artificial intelligence boom.

Losses have accelerated recently as the yield on the 30-year Treasury has risen almost a half percentage point to 5.6% in the past month.

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