Risk of a sharp fall in Indian banks’ asset quality has receded: Moody's1 min read . Updated: 05 Feb 2021, 04:33 PM IST
- A recovery in India's economy in 2021 will support borrowers' debt-servicing capability: Moody's
The Indian government's support measures for bank borrowers have softened growth in non-performing loans (NPLs), averting the risk of a sharp deterioration in asset quality, according to Moody's Investors Service in a new report.
"Ample domestic liquidity, loose monetary policy, moratoriums on loan repayments and government-guaranteed loans to small businesses have supported Indian banks' asset quality. As a result, restructured loans have not increased as much as we expected at the onset of the pandemic," says Alka Anbarasu, a Moody's Vice President and Senior Credit Officer.
The index for banking stocks in India - Nifty Bank - today hit 36,000 levels for first time before ending 0.9% higher at 35,654. Over past three months, the Nifty Bank index has surged 35%.
Asset performance at India's largest private sector banks – HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank Limited, AXIS Bank, IndusInd Bank Limited and IDBI Bank Limited – was better than expected in the nine months to December 2020, Moody's said.
On the other hand, Moody's added, Yes Bank Limited, which was rescued by Indian authorities in 2020, faces greater asset risks than its peers, although its capitalization, liquidity and funding have improved.
A recovery in India's economy in 2021 will support borrowers' debt-servicing capability after the support measures expire and as a result, a sharp deterioration in asset quality is now less likely than previously anticipated, Moody's added, saying that strong deposit growth further enhances liquidity and helps reduce funding costs.
Deposit growth outpaced loans at most banks through the third quarter of fiscal 2021 as consumers and businesses cut spending amid economic uncertainty, bolstering already robust liquidity at these banks, it added.
"Proactive efforts to raise fresh capital, improving profitability and increased loan loss reserves enable Indian banks to absorb unexpected losses, which will support their credit profiles," adds Anbarasu.