Gold rate today in an uptrend as fall in oil prices eases inflation fears; US Fed rate cut, dollar in focus
Gold rate today: Amid signs of ease in the US-Iran tension and falling crude oil prices, gold price today shot up in the Indian and the international market.
Gold rate today: Following a sharp rally in international markets, the gold price in India opened with an upside gap. The MCX gold rate today opened higher at ₹1,43,079 per 10 grams and touched the day's high of ₹1,44,434.
Compared with its previous day's close of ₹1,38,912, the yellow metal has logged an intraday gain of around 4%. In the international market, the COMEX gold rate today reached a high of $4,633/oz, and is holding above $4,600.
According to market experts, the gold price today is rising amid easing inflation fears as WTI crude oil prices crashed further, slipping below $90 per barrel. This has brought back the possibility of rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve back on the table, boosting the bullion.
The US dollar also tumbled after the reports of the US-Iran ceasefire. A weak greenback bodes well for gold as it makes the yellow metal cheaper for buyers of other currencies.
Easing inflation fears
On the reasons behind the rise in the gold rate today, Anuj Gupta, a SEBI-registered market expert, said the MCX gold rate is rising as the market is expecting a US Fed rate cut amid easing inflation fears.
He said that the WTI crude oil price has fallen below $90 amid reports of a US-Iran ceasefire, leading to a crash in the US dollar against leading global currencies. The US dollar Index is currently around 99.
US-Iran war news
According to the news agency, the Trump administration late Tuesday offered a 15-point ceasefire plan to Iran even as the US military prepared to call up at least 1,000 more troops to supplement the 50,000 already in the Mideast.
The plan was submitted to Iran by intermediaries from Pakistan, who have offered to host renewed negotiations between Washington and Tehran, according to the person, who spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorised to speak publicly.
The New York Times was the first to report that the plan had been delivered to Iranian officials.
Outlook for gold rate today
Speaking on the outlook for gold rates today, Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, said that a sustained move above $4,550 could push the COMEX gold rate toward $4,700–$4,750. He said the MCX gold rate today has broken above the resistance range of ₹1,39,000 to ₹1,40,000 per 10 gm, and the precious yellow metal is now heading for the next target of ₹1,46,000.
“On the downside, ₹1,34,000 to ₹1,35,000 acts as immediate support. A break below this can extend the fall toward ₹1,30,000,” said Ponmudi R of Enrich Money.
However, Anuj Gupta said that MCX gold rates may not be able to break above the crucial ₹1,55,000 resistance as a falling US dollar is expected to strengthen the Indian Rupee. The national currency is expected to gain from the falling crude oil prices as well.
Disclaimer: This story is for educational purposes only. The views and recommendations above are those of individual analysts or broking companies, not Mint. We advise investors to check with certified experts before making any investment decisions.
About the Author
Asit Manohar has nearly two decades of experience in the mainstream media. In this period, he has served esteemed media organisations like NDTV Profit, The Economic Times, and Zee Business. He has been working at LiveMint Digital since April 2021. During these two decades of journey in mainstream media, Asit has mainly covered external affairs, markets and personal finance. However, his earliest beats include railways, SME, MSME, and politics (Congress beat). Some of his features on political, economic, and foreign policy are documented in the parliamentary records. <br><br> While pursuing his MA (Mass Communication, Session 2004-06), Asit began his media career as a stringer at All India Radio in Varanasi. At AIR Varanasi, Asit worked with the Gyanvani, Yuvvani and Vividh Bharti teams. After working for nearly one year at AIR Varanasi, he shifted to print journalism and started working as a stringer for the HT Media Ltd, Varanasi. At HT Media Ltd in Varanasi, he covered the BHU beat. <br><br> Asit has also worked with some brokerage houses. He has worked with Religare Broking and India Infoline, where he assisted the research team in developing and executing trade strategies for intraday cash, F&O, and commodities. <br><br> Asit is a Gold Medalist in MA (Mass Communication) from BHU, Varanasi. He did his BSc. (Hons) in Mathematics from Magadh University, Bodh Gaya. Asit was a National Talent Scholarship holder during his senior secondary studies (1988-91).
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