
Selling pressure in precious metals deepened in Thursday’s evening session, pushing both gold and silver to multi-week lows on MCX, even as tensions in the Middle East remained elevated.
The April gold futures contract has crashed ₹8,810 per 10 grams to reach the day’s low of ₹1,44,215 per 10 grams, marking the lowest level since early February. Today’s sharp fall in the yellow metal has led to an 11% decline in March so far and has also reduced year-to-date returns to just 6.60%.
Silver, which is more volatile than gold, has fallen even more sharply, dropping ₹25,500 per kilogram to ₹2,22,234, marking the lowest level since late December.
With today’s decline, the white metal’s month-to-date fall has widened to 21%, putting it on track for a second consecutive monthly decline.
Jateen Trivedi, VP Research Analyst - Commodity and Currency, LKP Securities, said, “Gold remains technically weak, with resistance now shifting lower towards ₹1,50,000, while key support is seen in the ₹1,44,000– ₹1,42,000 zone. The overall short-term trend remains weak to volatile, and price action will continue to react sharply to developments in interest rate expectations and geopolitical cues.”
Despite geopolitical tensions typically supporting safe-haven demand, the ongoing US-Iran war has pushed oil and gas prices to multi year highs, fueling inflationary risks, which make rate cuts by the Fed and other central banks less likely. This is a headwind for gold, which doesn’t pay interest. A stronger dollar has also weighed on commodities.
The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at its latest meeting on Wednesday and projected just one cut this year, with Chair Jerome Powell saying a reduction would need inflation to slow. The conflict makes developments for the US economy “uncertain,” Fed officials said in a statement.
At the same time, the tensions have triggered a sharp rise in demand for the US dollar, with funds flowing back to the US, keeping demand for the world’s reserve currency elevated.
The stronger dollar makes commodity prices more expensive for holders of other currencies, thereby limiting demand for gold and silver.
The April gold delivery contract on COMEX fell $304 per troy ounce to the day’s low of $4,580, extending losses to a second straight session and hitting its lowest level since February 2.
Meanwhile, silver prices witnessed an even sharper sell-off, plunging $10.35 per troy ounce to $67.23, marking the lowest level since February 6.
Disclaimer: We advise investors to check with certified experts before making any investment decisions.
Ksheera Sagar has been working as a Market Research Analyst at LiveMint for the past four years, covering stocks, commodities, and broader financial markets. In this role, he closely tracks daily market movements, corporate earnings, sector trends, and macroeconomic developments. <br><br> He has over a decade of experience in the financial services industry and has previously worked with multiple organisations, including global investment bank J.P. Morgan, bringing strong research experience into the newsroom. <br><br> During his career, he has gained extensive exposure to equity research, market analysis, and financial data interpretation, strengthening his expertise across asset classes and market cycles. <br><br> He is known for his data-driven analysis and crisp, listicle-style market stories that break down complex financial developments across key markets for a wide audience. His strong research skills enable him to write detailed and insightful stories on stocks and sectors, focusing on the underlying factors driving market movements. <br><br> His work combines quantitative insights with clear storytelling, presenting financial developments in a clear and structured manner. Moreover, he enjoys writing multibagger and listicle-style copies. Outside of work, Ksheera enjoys playing the piano and exploring new places. He has a keen interest in travel, music, and continuously learning about global markets and economic trends.
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