Slow start to FY27 could put DLF in a spot unless launches pick pace

Harsha Jethmalani
3 min read5 Aug 2026, 11:55 AM IST
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DLF's Q1FY27 pre-sales plunged 94% year-on-year to ₹657 crore due to the absence of project launches, while collections declined to ₹2,406 crore. (Mint)
Summary
As per DLF, FY28 would be an inflection point from a reporting perspective as large projects contribute to the P&L, and thus, unlock the significant gross margin potential of around 39,000 crore.

Despite a muted start, DLF is confident of achieving pre-sales or bookings target of 20,000 crore in FY27, largely flat year-on-year. Absence of project launches in the June quarter (Q1FY27) dragged pre-sales 94% down year-on-year to 657 crore. Collections fell year-on-year and sequentially to 2,406 crore.

The real estate company continues to focus on improving cash flows (net cash of 15,200 crore) and margins rather than pursuing aggressive volume growth. Still, given the limited inventory, launches need to gather pace to drive pre-sales visibility.

Q2 may also be weak with launches of DLF Hamilton Court and Arbour 2 (senior living) in H2FY27 and the next phase of Privana—a premium offering, planned for Q4. Uber-luxury project The Dahlias has sold around 65% of its inventory, but traction has moderated. The management attributes it to steep price appreciation since launch rather than demand weakness. Here, realization exceeded 100,000 per sq. ft and DLF's priority is price appreciation over sales velocity.

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An experience centre is expected to open after Diwali, which could drive another leg of demand. DLF has around 16,500 crore of inventory in this project which is planned to be monetized over the next three years. While the Gurugram housing market is battling a slowdown amid falling volumes, DLF’s pedigree should help it navigate these challenges, said Nuvama Research.

The Goa residential project, which could contribute around 2000 crore to FY27 pre-sales, has received most approvals, but launch hinges on clarity on the pending litigation. DLF is also looking to launch a housing project in DLF City with revenue potential of 8,000–9,000 crore and the second phase of the Mumbai project in H2FY27. Its medium-term launch pipeline is around 24msf projects with gross development value of around 60,200 crore. It is exploring strategic land acquisitions in Delhi-NCR, and has invested around 545 crore during the last two quarters.

Nomura Research noted that DLF’s Q1FY27 revenue, Ebitda and profit after tax missed consensus estimates by 42%/70%/ 28%, respectively, and this trend is likely to continue until DLF Arbour begins revenue recognition from FY28. As per DLF, FY28 would be an inflection point from a reporting perspective as large projects contribute to the P&L, and thus, unlock the significant gross margin potential of around 39,000 crore.

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In contrast, Godrej Properties saw bookings rise 22% year-on-year to 8,651 crore with new launches contributing around 59%. It has guided for 14% pre-sales growth in FY27. Lodha Developers clocked pre-sales of 4,629 crore, up 4% year-on-year, which included the contribution from the sale of the land bank. It targets 17% pre-sales growth, backed by new launches in H2FY27.

Meanwhile, rental income grew 9% year-on-year to 1,444 crore in Q1FY27. DLF expects existing assets to deliver around 10-11% rental growth this year and sees FY27-exit rentals of 7,300-7,500 crore.

On the basis of launches, Motilal Oswal Financial Services expects a muted 2% CAGR in DLF’s pre-sales to 20,900 crore in FY26-28E. “We value DLF at its NAV and currently do not assign a growth premium to it since the potential of its sizable landbank is already getting captured in our estimates. Further, delta to valuations would come via new project additions in Mumbai Metropolitan Region and/or other markets,” it added. From its 52-week high of 798.80 seen in August 2025, the stock is down 17%.

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About the Author

Harsha Jethmalani is a Deputy Editor at Mint with over a decade of experience covering stock markets and corporate India. As a key member of the Mark to Market team, she specializes in delivering cutting-edge commentary on market trends, the economy, and corporate financial reports.<br><br>Born and raised in Mumbai, Harsha’s entry into business journalism was a serendipitous pivot. Graduating during the 2008–2009 financial crisis, her initial goal of becoming a research analyst at an MNC was rerouted. However, what began as a chance career move quickly became a conscious choice; she discovered that financial journalism is a powerful storytelling tool capable of influencing and empowering the financial decisions of a massive audience.<br><br>Harsha began her career in 2009 at IRIS Business Services (Myiris.com), tracking mutual funds and interviewing fund managers. In 2011, she joined the Network18 Group, writing extensively on equity market trends for Moneycontrol.com and hosting pre- and post-market audio updates. Following a stint covering personal finance at Dalal Times, she joined Mint in 2016 as a Content Producer, steadily rising through the ranks to her current editorial position.<br><br>A defining highlight of her tenure at Mint was her extensive coverage of India's historic Goods and Services Tax (GST) reform. She chronicled the massive indirect tax overhaul from its initial conceptual and execution hurdles to its eventual streamlining. Her impactful reporting earned official recognition when her article exposing a spike in gold smuggling ahead of the GST rollout was formally acknowledged by the Office of the Director General of Audit (Central), Kolkata. Currently, Harsha closely tracks the IT, cement, real estate, and paint sectors. Her sharp news sense and ability to spot emerging trends consistently bring fresh, actionable perspectives to market analysis.<br><br>She holds a postgraduate degree in financial markets from Indira Gandhi National Open University and a Bachelor of Management Studies from Vivekanand Education Society, Chembur, Mumbai.

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