RBI MPC Meeting Highlights: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced its second bi-monthly monetary policy of FY26 today, 6 June 2025. The RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra-headed Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting was scheduled from June 4 to 6, and the repo rate decision was announced today. The June RBI policy meeting comes at a time when the domestic retail inflation is in the central bank’s 2% - 4% medium-term target range, while support is required to boost economic growth.
The RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra-led MPC decided to cut the repo rate by a bumper 50 basis points (bps) to 5.50% from 6.00%. This was higher than the Street estimates, and RBI’s third consecutive repo rate cut. RBI Governor also announced taht the MPC decided to change policy stance to ‘Neutral’ from ‘Accommodative’. The MPC also cut the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) by 100 bps to 3% from 4% earlier.
Stay tuned to our RBI Monetary Policy Committee Meeting LIVE blog for the latest updates.
RBI MPC Meeting Highlights: Here are key takeaways from June RBI monetary policy today:
1] Policy Measures:
2] GDP Growth Estimates:
RBI maintains FY26 GDP forecast at 6.5%; Here are quarterly estimates:
3] CPI Inflation Forecast
RBI cuts FY26 CPI inflation estimates to 3.7% from 4% earlier. Here are quarterly estimates:
4] The minutes of the MPC’s meeting will be published on June 20, 2025.
5] The next MPC meeting is scheduled from August 4 to 6, 2025.
RBI MPC Meeting LIVE: The RBI now focuses on the transmission mechanism, which has been slow to start with and is still not significantly visible for the credit markets. The CRR cuts, that is expected to release ₹2.5 trillion, serves as an assurance to the markets on RBI’s objective towards keeping liquidity adequate. The CRR cuts have been timed to the second half of the year, which is the busy season. The significant CRR reduction would ensure lowering of the cost of funds for the banking system, thereby ensuring transmission of the 100 bps repo rate reduction. Going ahead, we still think there is a chance for a last 25 bps cut, but the timing of the same remains uncertain, said Indranil Pan, Chief Economist – Yes Bank.
RBI MPC Meeting LIVE: The frontloading of policy rate reduction is welcome. However, given the likely global growth slowdown and trade related uncertainties, the RBI may carry forward the momentum of the present interest rate reduction cycle at least until the policy rate reaches 5%. As private investment keeps improving, the ongoing rate reduction cycle could incentivize private investment and take India’s potential growth closer to 7% in the next few years, said DK Srivastava, Chief Policy Advisor, EY India.
RBI MPC Meeting LIVE: The yield curve, which was already steep, steepened further with shorter duration bonds outperforming. We expect the yield curve to remain steep and do not expect any further rate cuts over the next two quarters, said Puneet Pal, Head-Fixed Income, PGIM India Mutual Fund.