Brokerage firm ICICI Securities has initiated coverage on SignatureGlobal India with a ‘Buy’ rating and a target price of ₹1,705, implying an upside of 20% from Monday’s closing price. It values the company at 9x FY24-26E average embedded EBITDA on sales bookings.
“Our multiple of 9x is at a 40% discount to DLF, its closest peer – considering Signature would need to reinvest internal accruals for land bank replenishment while DLF has the luxury of historical low-cost land in Gurugram,” ICICI Securities said in a report.
The residential real estate developer, SignatureGlobal India has a lean banking business model boasting rapid conversion from acquisition to delivery, enabling it to channel internal accruals for future growth, it added.
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Signature delivered 43% sales booking CAGR over FY21-23, largely through affordable/ mid-income housing projects. The company has now forayed into premium group housing projects in prime areas of Gurugram
As of December 2023, SignatureGlobal has a strong portfolio of 45.3 million square feet (msf) of saleable area across ongoing and forthcoming projects. All its upcoming projects, with an estimated cumulative gross development value (GDV) of over ₹40,000 crore, are expected to be launched between FY24 and FY26.
“Given its strong launch pipeline of projects with a cumulative GDV of more than ₹40,000 crore over FY24-26E, we estimate that Signature may clock 38% sales booking CAGR over FY23E-27E with sales booking ranging between ₹10,000 - 12,000 crore annually over FY25E-27E at average realisations of over ₹13,000 per sq ft.,” ICICI Securities said.
The brokerage firm expects the share of mid-income housing projects shall range between 65-70% over this period at realizations in excess of ₹10,000 per sq ft.
“In early March 2024, Signature announced that it has clocked over ₹3,600 crore of sales bookings from the successful launch of its first premium residential project in Gurugram with an average ticket size of ₹35 million per unit at an average realisation of over ₹13,000 per sq ft, which is testimony to the company’s brand strength and ability to monetise premium group housing projects,” said the brokerage firm.
SignatureGlobal made a strong stock market debut in September 2023 as the stock was listed at ₹445.00 apiece on the BSE, a premium of 15.58% to the issue price of ₹385 per share.
SignatureGlobal shares have given multibagger returns since its listing. The stock is up more than 220% from its listing price. In the past three months, SignatureGlobal shares have rallied more than 73% and over 58% in 2024 so far.
At 2:00 pm, SignatureGlobal shares were trading 2.91% lower at ₹1,382.70 apiece on the BSE.
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