Silver’s surge: Three Indian stocks to play the next leg

Equitymaster
4 min read25 Aug 2026, 08:00 AM IST
logo
Silver is now running its sixth consecutive year of supply deficit, with the 2026 shortfall pegged at 46.3 million ounces. (Pexels Photo)
Summary
Silver’s rally is being powered by a persistent supply deficit and rising industrial demand. Here are three Indian companies offering different ways to ride the precious metal’s structural upcycle.

Precious metals have had a stellar run so far in 2026, with silver emerging as one of the standout performers.

The latest trigger came from the US. On 19 August, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced that the Treasury would at least double its bond buybacks, from $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation, with the focus on long-dated government debt.

Yields slipped, the dollar softened and silver jumped around 5-6%. Back home, silver was quoting at ₹245,000 per kg as of 21 August.

But pinning silver's strength on a single policy announcement misses the bigger picture. The metal is now running its sixth consecutive year of supply deficit, with the 2026 shortfall pegged at 46.3 million ounces.

Supply, meanwhile, barely moves. Nearly 70% of silver is mined as a by-product of base-metal mining, so producers cannot simply turn on the taps when prices rise.

Demand tells the other half of the story. Industrial use now accounts for close to 60% of all silver consumed. The Silver Institute points to three structural growth engines for the coming years: data centres and artificial intelligence (AI), solar and electric vehicles.

Put simply, silver wears two hats at once—a hedge against monetary uncertainty and an industrial input that is genuinely hard to replace.

Against that backdrop, here are three Indian stocks to play the theme.

Hindustan Zinc

Start with the obvious one. Hindustan Zinc is India's only integrated and listed primary silver producer, making it the cleanest listed proxy for the silver story.

Globally, it ranks among the top 10 producers, climbing from 23rd about 12 years ago to eighth in 2026. Its Sindesar Khurd mine is the world's second-largest silver-producing mine.

Also Read | Why Hindustan Zinc may find it tough to repeat blockbuster Q1

The scale-up has been dramatic. Silver output has risen more than twentyfold in two decades, from 24 MT in FY06 to 627 MT in FY26.

The financials back the story. Sales have compounded at a 12% CAGR over the past five years, while net profit has grown at the same pace.

The latest quarter was strong: revenue from operations rose 77% year-on-year (YoY) to ₹13,747 crore; Ebitda jumped 109% to ₹8,074 crore, with a 59% margin; and net profit surged 145% to ₹5,469 crore.

The company is taking silver capacity from 800 tonnes per annum (TPA) towards 1,500 TPA by FY30, and management has said the current rally has not yet fully flowed through to reported numbers.

One figure from the investor deck captures the leverage to silver prices: “Every $1/oz move in silver feeds roughly ₹2–2.25 billion into annual Ebitda.”

Vedanta

Vedanta offers an indirect route. It owns 60.71% of Hindustan Zinc, giving investors majority-owner exposure to India's only primary silver producer, albeit one layer removed.

Also Read | Vedanta ends fixed dividend rule ahead of five-way demerger

Following Vedanta's five-way demerger, effective 1 May 2026, which spun off its aluminium, power, oil & gas and steel businesses, the residual Vedanta retains its zinc, lead and silver interests through Hindustan Zinc—now unmistakably its crown jewel.

The quarter was strong at the group level as well. Consolidated revenue came in at ₹23,456 crore, while profit rose 152% YoY to ₹5,294 crore, alongside a best-ever Ebitda of ₹8,469 crore. The Ebitda margin, excluding copper, widened to about 57%, an improvement of 985 basis points YoY.

Titan Company

Titan Co. Ltd is not a miner, but a retailer that turns silver into something consumers wear. Part of the Tata Group, it is India's leading lifestyle company, with businesses spanning jewellery, watches, eyewear and emerging categories, alongside its high-precision engineering arm, TEAL.

Its brand portfolio includes Tanishq, Mia, Zoya, CaratLane and Damas in jewellery; Titan, Fastrack, Sonata and Helios in watches; Titan Eye+ in eyewear; and Taneira, Skinn and Irth in newer categories.

Together, these businesses account for 3,680 stores across 5.4 million sq. ft. of retail space, more than 14,000 employees and 50 million Encircle loyalty members. Jewellery remains the heart of the business, with Tanishq holding roughly 8.5% market share as India's leading organized jeweller.

Sales have compounded at a 32% CAGR over the past five years, while net profit has grown at an even sharper 40% CAGR. In the latest quarter, consolidated income, excluding bullion and digital gold, rose 40% YoY to ₹20,753 crore. Ebit climbed 59% to ₹2,782 crore, with a 13.4% margin, while net profit rose 63% to ₹1,777 crore.

Consumer businesses grew 40%, led by jewellery, while TEAL income jumped 43% to Rs438 crore.

Conclusion

Each of these companies offers a different way to play silver's structural upcycle: Hindustan Zinc through direct primary-silver exposure, Vedanta through its majority stake in Hindustan Zinc, and Titan through silver-linked jewellery demand.

None, however, is a pure silver bet. Each comes with its own baggage—base-metal cycles, group leverage, gold prices and duty changes. And above it all is silver's tendency to swing sharply in both directions.

It is worth weighing both sides before making any investment.

Happy investing.

Disclaimer: This article is for information purposes only. It is not a stock recommendation and should not be treated as such.

This article is syndicated from Equitymaster.com

About the Author

Equitymaster is India's leading independent equity research platform, providing in-depth research and analysis on BSE- and NSE-listed companies since 1996. As a SEBI-registered Research Analyst [Registration No. INH000021128], Equitymaster covers the full spectrum of Indian equities — bluechip stocks, midcap stocks, smallcap stocks, and microcap stocks.<br><br> At the heart of Equitymaster's research philosophy are the principles of value investing — particularly the margin of safety and the primacy of investment over speculation. All research is produced by an independent team of SEBI-registered research analysts with vast experience in Indian financial markets, using detailed systems and processes developed entirely in-house.<br><br> With over 17 lakh readers across 72 countries, Equitymaster is one of India's leading equity research publications. Since 1996, the goal has remained the same — to deliver honest, unbiased, and credible equity research that helps Indian investors make better, more informed decisions.

Catch all the Business News , Market News , Breaking News Events and Latest News Updates on Live Mint. Download The Mint News App to get Daily Market Updates.

More