
The Indian stock market benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty 50, are likely to open on a subdued note on Tuesday, tracking mixed global cues as investors remain cautious amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and await key corporate earnings.
Asian markets traded mixed in early trade, while US equities ended lower overnight ahead of a busy earnings calendar.
On Monday, domestic equity benchmarks closed in the red as concerns over the intensifying US-Iran conflict and elevated geopolitical risks dampened investor sentiment. The BSE Sensex fell 442.93 points, or 0.57%, to 77,708.52, while the Nifty 50 declined 95.80 points, or 0.39%, to settle at 24,238.50.
Tensions in the Middle East remained elevated after two oil tankers caught fire following explosions while attempting to transit the southern route of the Strait of Hormuz, according to Reuters. Iran's Revolutionary Guards said the strategic waterway would remain closed as long as US military actions in the region continued. The Guards also claimed responsibility for targeting US military assets in Bahrain, including a radar installation and an air defence system in Muharraq.
Crude oil prices edged lower on reports of fresh diplomatic efforts aimed at easing tensions between the US and Iran. Brent crude futures slipped 0.37% to $88.89 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for September delivery was little changed at $82.47 per barrel.
Gold prices traded largely unchanged as investors closely tracked geopolitical developments in the Middle East. Spot gold was steady at $4,008.83 per ounce, while spot silver eased 0.2% to $56.31 per ounce.
The US dollar hovered near a one-week high as investors sought the safety of the greenback amid geopolitical uncertainty. The US Dollar Index (DXY) was steady at 100.96, close to its strongest level since 15 July. The dollar was little changed at 162.50 against the Japanese yen, while the euro traded at $1.1415 and the British pound held steady at $1.3434, according to Reuters.
The Gift Nifty Live Chart shows a weak start for the Indian stock market today. By 7:36 AM, the Gift Nifty was trading around the 24,155 level, a discount of 104.5 points from the Nifty futures’ previous close of 24,259.50.
Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, Indian equity markets are expected to open on a subdued note as investors remain cautious amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, elevated crude oil prices, persistent foreign portfolio investor (FPI) selling, and continued weakness in the Indian rupee. The combination of external headwinds has reinforced a risk-off mood, limiting investors' appetite for equities.
Early trends in GIFT Nifty, trading around 24,124 compared with the Nifty's previous close of 24,238, point to a gap-down opening for domestic markets. The weak indication reflects lingering concerns over the evolving geopolitical situation and its potential impact on global energy markets and capital flows.
Speaking on the outlook for the Nifty 50 today, Ajit Mishra, Senior Vice President, Research at Religare Broking, Nifty 50 once again failed to cross the 24,400 mark, reinforcing the ongoing range-bound trend. Immediate support is placed in the 24,000–23,800 zone, while a decisive breakout above 24,400 could trigger the next leg of the recovery. Despite the choppiness in the benchmark index, rotational buying across sectors and the resilience of the broader markets continue to offer ample stock-specific trading opportunities.
On the outlook for the Bank Nifty today, Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, believes Bank Nifty is trading with a cautious undertone in the near term, but its ability to hold above the 20-, 50-, 100-, and 200-day EMAs suggests that the broader technical structure remains firmly constructive. From a technical perspective, the 58,000–58,100 zone remains the immediate resistance. A sustained move above this region could revive bullish momentum and pave the way for an advance towards the 58,400 level, followed by the 58,600–58,700 resistance zone.
On the downside, the 57,600–57,500 region continues to provide immediate support. Holding above this zone will be crucial to prevent further weakness, while a decisive break below it could accelerate selling pressure and drag the index towards the 57,300–57,200 support region.
Regarding stocks to buy today, market experts — Sumeet Bagadia of Choice Broking, Ganesh Dongre, Senior Manager — Technical Research at Anand Rathi, and Shiju Koothupalakkal, Senior Manager — Technical Research at Prabhudas Lilladher, recommended these eight buy-or-sell stocks for intraday trading: Five-Star Business Finance Ltd, Lloyds Metals and Energy Ltd, Bank of Baroda, Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd (MCX), Varun Beverages Ltd, Gulshan Polyols Ltd, JSW Infrastructure Ltd, and Enviro Infra Engineers Ltd.
Buy Five-Star Business Finance in cash at ₹570; SL at ₹538; TGT at ₹610
Buy Lloyds Metals in cash at ₹1,908; SL at ₹1,807; TGT at ₹2,050
Buy Bank of Baroda at ₹255; sl at ₹250; tgt at ₹262
Buy MCX at ₹2,825; sl at ₹2,780; tgt at ₹2,920
Buy Varun Beverages at ₹468; sl at ₹430; tgt at ₹490
Buy Gulshan Polyols cmp: ₹182.50; Target: ₹195; Stop loss: ₹178
Buy JSW Infra cmp: ₹348.45; Target: ₹370; Stop loss: ₹340
Buy Enviro Infra Engineers cmp: ₹229.35; Target: ₹244; Stop loss: ₹224
Disclaimer: This story is for educational purposes only. The views and recommendations above are those of individual analysts or broking companies, not Mint. We advise investors to check with certified experts before making any investment decisions.
Dhanya Nagasundaram works as a Content Producer at LiveMint, specializing in news related to financial markets, stocks, and business. With over eight years of experience in journalism and content creation, she has honed her skills in data-driven reporting and market analysis. Her focus is on monitoring stock trends, initial public offerings (IPOs), corporate news, policy shifts, and larger economic trends that affect investors and market players. <br><br> At LiveMint, Dhanya consistently writes and produces articles that make complex financial topics accessible to readers. She keeps a close eye on equity markets, commodities, and macroeconomic indicators, assisting audiences in comprehending how global and domestic events influence investment perspectives. Her stories frequently underscore emerging trends within sectors, the IPO market, company earnings results, and market strategies pertinent to both retail and institutional investors. <br><br> Before her tenure at LiveMint, Dhanya accumulated a wealth of professional experience at various companies, including MintGenie, Informist, Cogenics, Chary Publications, KPMG, and the Royal Bank of Scotland. These positions allowed her to establish a solid foundation in financial research, reporting, and content creation. <br><br> Throughout her career, she has explored numerous subjects such as trading strategies, commodities, IPOs, wealth generation, corporate profits, and macroeconomic indicators. Her background in both financial journalism and corporate settings has given her the ability to tackle stories with analytical rigor while ensuring clarity for her audience. Through her contributions, Dhanya strives to deliver insightful, trustworthy, and investor-centric financial content.
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