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Help from Oil
Softening global crude prices could reduce India’s fiscal burden in FY26, especially by lowering fertiliser subsidies,
which rely on imported natural gas. With Brent crude averaging lower in early 2025, the Centre may stay within its ₹1.68
trillion fertiliser subsidy allocation, or even reduce it by up to 10%. Cheaper oil also aids the rupee, narrows the
current account deficit, and boosts fiscal space for public investment and inflation control.
Read more.
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Hybrid = EVs?
Delhi's draft EV Policy 2.0 may offer tax waivers for hybrids and EVs alike. This has alarmed local carmakers, who are
focused on battery EVs. In recent years, Tata, Mahindra and Hyundai have backed EVs, while Japanese players like Maruti
and Toyota, who lag in battery EVs but lead in hybrids, have supported hybrids. Mint's sources indicated there is
internal concern among some companies that the policy could hurt top-end diesel car sales and weaken battery EV
investments. Industry experts warn it sends a signal that could shift national policy direction, even as Delhi’s EV
infrastructure remains limited.
Read more.
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Clearing Dues
The Centre is planning to direct public sector banks (PSBs) to settle at least 30-40% of the ₹78,000 crore in unclaimed
deposits during FY26, aiming to clean up dormant accounts and enhance customer engagement. To achieve this, banks may be
asked to identify regions with high unclaimed funds, set branch-level quarterly targets, and follow a standard operating
procedure, alongside adhering to new RBI norms. These include publicly listing unclaimed deposits and offering a search
tool. Part of the EASE reforms agenda, the initiative aims to improve balance sheets, reduce fraud risk, and ease
operational burdens.
Read more.
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MPC’s Tariff Concerns
Members of the RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) have voiced concerns over the fallout of rising US trade tariffs on
India’s economic outlook, prompting a unanimous decision to cut the repo rate by 25 basis points and shift the policy
stance to accommodative. The panel also lowered India’s FY26 growth forecast to 6.5%, while the IMF slashed its
projection further to 6.2%, citing trade tensions and global instability. RBI governor Sanjay Malhotra acknowledged
global risks but remained optimistic due to India's domestic demand-led growth.
Read more.
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Recession Incoming?
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has sharply downgraded its 2025 US growth forecast to 1.8% from 2.7%, citing trade
disruptions triggered by President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariff hikes. While the US economy began 2025 on a strong
footing, the IMF now sees a 40% chance of recession by year-end—up from 25%—due to rising trade tensions, particularly
with China, and growing policy uncertainty. Global growth is also feeling the heat, with projections cut across the
board: China to 4%, the euro area to 0.8%, and India to 6.2% for FY26.
Read more.
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60
The HSBC flash India Composite Output Index, an early estimate of activity across manufacturing and services, in April,
up from 59.5 in March.
6
The number of months it took the makers to complete Love You, a Kannada movie pitched as the first AI-generated feature
film. Only two humans were involved in making the film.
$19.34 billion
The revenue reported by Tesla in the January-March quarter, down 9% year-on-year. Net profit dropped 71% to $409 million
for the period.
20%
The percentage of total employees that Intel is set to lay off this week, as part of restructuring under its new CEO
Lip-Bu Tan.
3.1%
The baseline global default rate for end-2025, according to Moody's March Default Report, up from 2.5% earlier,
reflecting concerns about credit quality.
229
The number of patents filed by India's 117 unicorns, put together, over half of them by Ola Group, according to the
Indian Patent Advanced Search System.
$571 million
The fine imposed on Apple by the European Commission for preventing app makers from pointing users to cheaper options
outside its App Store.
howindialives.com
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Written by Siddharth Sharma. Edited by Alokesh Bhattacharyya.
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